Olympique Marseille vs Atalanta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
0:1
05/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 6
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 4
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 3
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 6 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 5, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.25
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
84% (407/487)82% (362/440)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.661.44
Total shots
158
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
84% (407/487)82% (362/440)
Long passes
36% (16/45)59% (43/73)
Passes in final third
65% (69/106)61% (51/84)
Crosses
29% (6/21)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.43
Throw-ins
99
Fouls
1317
Tackles
37% (7/19)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1326
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.440.66
Goals prevented
0.440.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', De Ketelaere C. (Pen),
  • 26', Ederson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', De Roon M. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
  • 50', Kossounou O. 🟨,
  • 55', Kossounou O. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
  • 67', O'Riley M. 🟨,
  • 72', Paixao I. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
  • 75', Lookman A. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
  • 79', O'Riley M. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
  • 84', Krstovic N. ↓, Scamacca G. ↑,
  • 84', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
  • 87', Juric I. 🟨,
  • 90', 0 - 1, Samardzic L. ⚽,
  • 90+2', De Zerbi R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Garcia U. ↓, Mmadi T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
40.1%		Draw
27%		Atalanta
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 25% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 24.4% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olympique Marseille's form might have worsened.
  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atalanta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Olympique Marseille - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.4 ↑
    (2.04)    		 3.62 ↓
    (3.8)    		 2.99 ↓
    (3.35)    		 2.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Atalanta?
  • Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 63 - 75.9%). Atalanta will win (votes: 4 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 19.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 66.7% – 85.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Atalanta (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Marseille (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Marseille (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 40 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 35 - 87.5%). Atalanta (votes: 1 - 2.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 10%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Atalanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Hip Injury) Balerdi L. (Muscle Injury) Blanco R. (Inactive) Emerson (Red Card) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Lirola P. (Inactive) Maupay N. (Inactive) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Nadir B. (Head Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury) Vermot T. (Inactive) Weah T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Brescianini M. (Thigh Injury) Scalvini G. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Marseille won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Atalanta were as follows:
    09.05.2024 Atalanta - Olympique Marseille 3:0
    02.05.2024 Olympique Marseille - Atalanta 1:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    01.11.2025 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 0:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Olympique Marseille - Angers 2:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Lens - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺
    22.10.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Olympique Marseille - Le Havre 6:2 ✺
    Latest results of Atalanta
    01.11.2025 Udinese - Atalanta 1:0 ✺
    28.10.2025 Atalanta - Milan 1:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Cremonese - Atalanta 1:1 ✺
    22.10.2025 Atalanta - Slavia Prague 0:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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