Result
1:0
05/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 15
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (353/423) | 87% (498/571) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (353/423) | 87% (498/571) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (63/96) | 71% (90/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.82 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Mbappe E. ⚽, Bentaleb N. (A),
- 26', Igamane H. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 26', Vermeeren A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Pavard B. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
- 66', Aubameyang P. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
- 69', Mbappe E. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 70', Sahraoui O. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
- 80', Kondogbia G. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
- 80', Paixao I. ↓, Mmadi T. ↑,
- 84', Haraldsson H. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 90:00, Ozer B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lille
40.5% | Draw
27.2% | Olympique Marseille
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lille - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.59) |
3.5 ↑
(3.49) |
2.96 ↑
(2.59) |
4.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lille - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 9 - 30%). Marseille will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 53.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Marseille (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 2.
- Recent performances by Lille have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Marseille is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Marseille has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro
(Thigh Injury)
Bouaddi A.
(Red Card)
Caillard M.
(Elbow Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
Verdonk C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Gouiri A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Medina F.
(Ankle Injury)
Traore H. J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Hojbjerg P.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Olympique Marseille?
Lille has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Lille?
Olympique Marseille has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
04.05.2025
Lille
-
Olympique Marseille
1:1
14.01.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Lille
1:2
14.12.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Lille
1:1
05.04.2024
Lille
-
Olympique Marseille
3:1
04.11.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Lille
0:0
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 48:16 | 32 | 51 |
| 2 | Lens | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 37:17 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Lyon | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 34:20 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Marseille | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 46:27 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Lille | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Rennes | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 31:34 | -3 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 34:27 | 7 | 30 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 30 |
| 9 | Angers | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 29 |
| 10 | Monaco | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 28 |
| 11 | Lorient | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27:33 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Brest | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18:26 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Nice | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 | Nantes | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19:37 | -18 | 14 |
| 18 | Metz | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21:46 | -25 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
