Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 27
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 5 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (476/533) | 84% (373/445) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (476/533) | 84% (373/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (144/183) | 72% (71/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', Ngoy N. 🟨,
- 13', Verdonk C. 🟨,
- 13', Greenwood M. 🟨,
- 13', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
- 18', Greenwood M. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 0, Nwaneri E. ⚽, Paixao I. (A),
- 45+8', Ozer B. ↓, Bodart A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 1, Meunier T. ⚽,
- 64', Kondogbia G. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
- 75', Nwaneri E. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
- 78', Verdonk C. ↓, Perraud R. ↑,
- 78', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Giroud O. ⚽, Meunier T. (A),
- 90', Haraldsson H. ↓, Mbemba Ch. ↑,
- 90', Timber Q. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille
49.8% | Draw
26.1% | Lille
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Olympique Marseille - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92
(1.92) |
3.67 ↑
(3.65) |
3.96 ↑
(3.69) |
4.8%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lille?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Lille will win (votes: 3 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 61.9% – 89.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Marseille (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Lille (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 4 - 80%). Lille (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Marseille is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Caillard M.
(Injury)
Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Mbappe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Perrin G.
(Injury)
Sahraoui O.
(Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Andre B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Lille?
Olympique Marseille has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Olympique Marseille?
Lille has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lille were as follows:
05.12.2025
Lille
-
Olympique Marseille
1:0
04.05.2025
Lille
-
Olympique Marseille
1:1
14.01.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Lille
1:2
14.12.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Lille
1:1
05.04.2024
Lille
-
Olympique Marseille
3:1
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
