Lille vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq).

Ligue 1 - Round 15
Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.36	0.52
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
5	6
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
83% (353/423)	87% (498/571)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.36	0.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	0.82
Total shots
5	6
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
0	1
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
13	12
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
11	9
Passes
83% (353/423)	87% (498/571)
Long passes
46% (19/41)	54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
66% (63/96)	71% (90/127)
Crosses
17% (1/6)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	0.26
Throw-ins
17	30
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
63% (10/16)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
46	45
Clearances
29	14
Interceptions
11	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.82	0.40
Goals prevented
0.82	-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Mbappe E. ⚽, Bentaleb N. (A),
26', Igamane H. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
26', Vermeeren A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Pavard B. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
66', Aubameyang P. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
69', Mbappe E. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
70', Sahraoui O. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
80', Kondogbia G. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
80', Paixao I. ↓, Mmadi T. ↑,
84', Haraldsson H. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
90:00, Ozer B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lille
40.5%

Draw
27.2%

Olympique Marseille
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.1%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.4%

36.1%

Lille - Olympique Marseille Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.59)	3.5 ↑ (3.49)	2.96 ↑ (2.59)	4.6% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Lille - Olympique Marseille?

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 9 - 30%). Marseille will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 53.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 2.
Recent performances by Lille have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Marseille is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Marseille has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Bouaddi A. (Red Card) Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury) Verdonk C. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Marseille: Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Marseille: Hojbjerg P. (Illness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Olympique Marseille?

Lille has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Lille?

Olympique Marseille has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Olympique Marseille were as follows:

04.05.2025 Lille - Olympique Marseille 1:1

14.01.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lille 1:2

14.12.2024 Olympique Marseille - Lille 1:1

05.04.2024 Lille - Olympique Marseille 3:1

04.11.2023 Olympique Marseille - Lille 0:0

Latest results of Lille

30.11.2025 Le Havre - Lille 0:1 ✺

27.11.2025 Lille - Dinamo Zagreb 4:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Lille - Paris FC 4:2 ✺

09.11.2025 Strasbourg - Lille 2:0 ✺

06.11.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Olympique Marseille

29.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 2:2 ✺

25.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺

21.11.2025 Nice - Olympique Marseille 1:5 ✺

08.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 3:0 ✺

05.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Atalanta 0:1 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lens	15	11	1	3	26:13	13	34
2	PSG	15	10	3	2	32:12	20	33
3	Marseille	15	9	2	4	35:15	20	29
4	Lille	15	9	2	4	29:17	12	29
5	Lyon	15	7	3	5	21:16	5	24
6	Rennes	15	6	6	3	24:23	1	24
7	Monaco	15	7	2	6	26:26	0	23
8	Strasbourg	15	7	1	7	25:20	5	22
9	Toulouse	15	5	5	5	21:19	2	20
10	Brest	15	5	4	6	20:24	-4	19
11	Angers	15	5	4	6	13:17	-4	19
12	Nice	15	5	2	8	19:27	-8	17
13	Lorient	15	4	5	6	19:28	-9	17
14	Paris FC	15	4	4	7	21:26	-5	16
15	Le Havre	15	3	6	6	13:21	-8	15
16	Auxerre	15	3	3	9	11:21	-10	12
17	Nantes	15	2	5	8	13:24	-11	11
18	Metz	15	3	2	10	15:34	-19	11

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2