Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Albania | SuperSport 4 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, VOOsport World 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | SKAI |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV, Disney+ |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.46 | 1.17 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
86% (353/411) | 91% (548/605) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.46 | 1.17 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.37 | 1.22 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
5 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
86% (353/411) | 91% (548/605) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (15/36) | 68% (32/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (47/72) | 80% (121/151) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (1/6) | 11% (2/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.34 | 0.65 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (11/17) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
30 | 33 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 6 |
Interceptions |
---|
2 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.22 | 0.37 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.13 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Bennacer I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bennacer I. ↓, Rongier V. ↑,
- 46', Akpom Ch. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 1, Gouiri A. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
- 65', Ismaily 🟨,
- 66', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
- 66', Bentaleb N. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 72', Haraldsson H. ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
- 73', Garcia U. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, David J. (A),
- 80', Alexsandro 🟨,
- 85', Garcia U. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
- 90', Luis Henrique ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille 40.9% | Draw 28.1% | Olympique Marseille 31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Lille - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↓ (2.43) |
3.41 ↑ (3.33) |
3.08 ↑ (2.97) |
4.7% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 16 - 37.2%). Marseille will win (votes: 14 - 32.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 30.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 22.8% – 51.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 2 - 25%). Marseille (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
- Lille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lille: Diakite B.
(Red Card)
Gomes A.
(Back Injury)
Mbappe E.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Ankle Injury)
Mbemba Ch.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Luiz Felipe
(Eye injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Olympique Marseille?
Lille has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Lille?
Olympique Marseille has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
14.01.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Lille
1:2
14.12.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Lille
1:1
05.04.2024
Lille
-
Olympique Marseille
3:1
04.11.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Lille
0:0
20.05.2023
Lille
-
Olympique Marseille
2:1
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2