Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, VOOsport World 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | SKAI |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV, Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (353/411) | 91% (548/605) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (353/411) | 91% (548/605) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (15/36) | 68% (32/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (47/72) | 80% (121/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Bennacer I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bennacer I. ↓, Rongier V. ↑,
- 46', Akpom Ch. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 1, Gouiri A. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
- 65', Ismaily 🟨,
- 66', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
- 66', Bentaleb N. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 72', Haraldsson H. ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
- 73', Garcia U. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, David J. (A),
- 80', Alexsandro 🟨,
- 85', Garcia U. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
- 90', Luis Henrique ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille
40.9% | Draw
28.1% | Olympique Marseille
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Lille - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.43) |
3.41 ↑
(3.33) |
3.08 ↑
(2.97) |
4.7%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 16 - 37.2%). Marseille will win (votes: 14 - 32.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 30.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 22.8% – 51.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 2 - 25%). Marseille (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
- Lille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lille: Diakite B.
(Red Card)
Gomes A.
(Back Injury)
Mbappe E.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Ankle Injury)
Mbemba Ch.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Luiz Felipe
(Eye injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Olympique Marseille?
Lille has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Lille?
Olympique Marseille has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
14.01.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Lille
1:2
14.12.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Lille
1:1
05.04.2024
Lille
-
Olympique Marseille
3:1
04.11.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Lille
0:0
20.05.2023
Lille
-
Olympique Marseille
2:1
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
