Lille vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:0
05/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 15
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.360.52
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
56
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
83% (353/423)87% (498/571)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.360.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.400.82
Total shots
56
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
01
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1312
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
119
Passes
83% (353/423)87% (498/571)
Long passes
46% (19/41)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
66% (63/96)71% (90/127)
Crosses
17% (1/6)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.26
Throw-ins
1730
Fouls
911
Tackles
63% (10/16)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4645
Clearances
2914
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.820.40
Goals prevented
0.82-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Mbappe E. ⚽, Bentaleb N. (A),
  • 26', Igamane H. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
  • 26', Vermeeren A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Pavard B. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
  • 66', Aubameyang P. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
  • 69', Mbappe E. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
  • 70', Sahraoui O. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
  • 80', Kondogbia G. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
  • 80', Paixao I. ↓, Mmadi T. ↑,
  • 84', Haraldsson H. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
  • 90:00, Ozer B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lille
40.5%		Draw
27.2%		Olympique Marseille
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 27.1% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 27.4% 36.1%

Lille - Olympique Marseille Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.37 ↓
(2.59)		 3.5 ↑
(3.49)		 2.96 ↑
(2.59)		 4.6%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lille - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 9 - 30%). Marseille will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 53.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Marseille (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 2.
    • Recent performances by Lille have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Marseille is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Marseille has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Bouaddi A. (Red Card) Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury) Verdonk C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Hojbjerg P. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Lille - Olympique Marseille 1:1
    14.01.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lille 1:2
    14.12.2024 Olympique Marseille - Lille 1:1
    05.04.2024 Lille - Olympique Marseille 3:1
    04.11.2023 Olympique Marseille - Lille 0:0
    Latest results of Lille
    30.11.2025 Le Havre - Lille 0:1 ✺
    27.11.2025 Lille - Dinamo Zagreb 4:0 ✺
    23.11.2025 Lille - Paris FC 4:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Strasbourg - Lille 2:0 ✺
    06.11.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    29.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 2:2 ✺
    25.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 Nice - Olympique Marseille 1:5 ✺
    08.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 3:0 ✺
    05.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Atalanta 0:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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