Olympique Marseille vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 3
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandCANAL+ 360
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaSpace Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 5, Tabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.46
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1820
Shots on target
79
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
115
Passes
86% (454/530)82% (314/382)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.231.21
Total shots
1820
Shots on target
79
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
1417
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
2631
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
810
Passes
86% (454/530)82% (314/382)
Long passes
42% (18/43)19% (6/31)
Passes in final third
80% (144/179)74% (98/132)
Crosses
20% (5/25)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.91
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
108
Tackles
78% (7/9)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3329
Clearances
2723
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
75
xGOT faced
1.212.23
Goals prevented
0.210.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Balerdi L. 🟨,
  • 6', 0 - 1, Barnes H. ,
  • 20', Willock J. 🟨,
  • 36', Bakola D. 🟨,
  • 42', Gordon A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Aubameyang P. , Bakola D. (A),
  • 50', 2 - 1, Aubameyang P. , Weah T. (A),
  • 52', Emerson 🟨,
  • 61', Livramento V. , Hall L. ,
  • 61', Schar F. , Elanga A. ,
  • 61', Murphy J. , Miley L. ,
  • 62', Bakola D. , O'Riley M. ,
  • 65', Burn D. 🟨,
  • 67', Greenwood M. 🟨,
  • 72', Gordon A. , Woltemade N. ,
  • 72', Willock J. , Ramsey J. ,
  • 84', Vermeeren A. 🟨,
  • 88', Greenwood M. , Gomes A. ,
  • 90+2', Aubameyang P. , Vaz R. ,

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
31.2%
Draw
27.7%
Newcastle United
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 28.3% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 27.9% 40.2%

Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.09
(2.97)
3.47
(3.37)
2.35
(2.41)
3.7%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 18 - 26.9%). Newcastle will win (votes: 34 - 50.7%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 22.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 38.7%62.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Newcastle (votes: 14 - 50%). Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Newcastle (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Newcastle (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Newcastle (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 32 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Newcastle (votes: 18 - 56.3%). Tie (votes: 10 - 31.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marseille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Groin Injury) Blanco R. (Inactive) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Lirola P. (Inactive) Maupay N. (Inactive) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Murillo M. (Tendon Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury) Vermot T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Ashby H. (Thigh Injury) Gillespie M. (Inactive) Lascelles J. (Inactive) Osula W. (Ankle Injury) Ruddy J. (Inactive) Trippier K. (Knock) Wissa Y. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)