Olympique Marseille vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:1
25/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 3
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandCANAL+ 360
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaSpace Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 5, Tabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.46
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1820
Shots on target
79
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
115
Passes
86% (454/530)82% (314/382)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.231.21
Total shots
1820
Shots on target
79
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
1417
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
2631
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
810
Passes
86% (454/530)82% (314/382)
Long passes
42% (18/43)19% (6/31)
Passes in final third
80% (144/179)74% (98/132)
Crosses
20% (5/25)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.91
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
108
Tackles
78% (7/9)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3329
Clearances
2723
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
75
xGOT faced
1.212.23
Goals prevented
0.210.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Balerdi L. 🟨,
  • 6', 0 - 1, Barnes H. ⚽,
  • 20', Willock J. 🟨,
  • 36', Bakola D. 🟨,
  • 42', Gordon A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Bakola D. (A),
  • 50', 2 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Weah T. (A),
  • 52', Emerson 🟨,
  • 61', Livramento V. ↓, Hall L. ↑,
  • 61', Schar F. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
  • 61', Murphy J. ↓, Miley L. ↑,
  • 62', Bakola D. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
  • 65', Burn D. 🟨,
  • 67', Greenwood M. 🟨,
  • 72', Gordon A. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
  • 72', Willock J. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 84', Vermeeren A. 🟨,
  • 88', Greenwood M. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Aubameyang P. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
31.2%		Draw
27.7%		Newcastle United
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 28.3% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 27.9% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
    •

    Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.09 ↑
    (2.97)    		 3.47 ↑
    (3.37)    		 2.35 ↓
    (2.41)    		 3.7%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 18 - 26.9%). Newcastle will win (votes: 34 - 50.7%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 22.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 38.7% – 62.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Newcastle (votes: 14 - 50%). Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Newcastle (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Newcastle (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Newcastle (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 32 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Newcastle (votes: 18 - 56.3%). Tie (votes: 10 - 31.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Marseille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Groin Injury) Blanco R. (Inactive) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Lirola P. (Inactive) Maupay N. (Inactive) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Murillo M. (Tendon Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury) Vermot T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Ashby H. (Thigh Injury) Gillespie M. (Inactive) Lascelles J. (Inactive) Osula W. (Ankle Injury) Ruddy J. (Inactive) Trippier K. (Knock) Wissa Y. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    21.11.2025 Nice - Olympique Marseille 1:5 ✺
    08.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 3:0 ✺
    05.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Atalanta 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 0:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Olympique Marseille - Angers 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    22.11.2025 Newcastle United - Manchester City 2:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Brentford - Newcastle United 3:1 ✺
    05.11.2025 Newcastle United - Athletic Bilbao 2:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 West Ham United - Newcastle United 3:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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