Olympique Marseille vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
5:2
23/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 2
  • Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1
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bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.98
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
91% (539/590)88% (333/379)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.471.37
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
268
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
128
Passes
91% (539/590)88% (333/379)
Long passes
53% (18/34)38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
71% (89/126)60% (33/55)
Crosses
42% (5/12)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.03
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
912
Tackles
83% (10/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3524
Clearances
1928
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.372.47
Goals prevented
-0.63-2.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Greenwood M. (Pen),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 1, Kebbal I. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 58', 2 - 2, Simon M. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
  • 63', Weah T. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
  • 64', Simon M. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
  • 64', Geubbels W. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
  • 69', Camara A. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
  • 73', 3 - 2, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Nadir B. (A),
  • 74', Aubameyang P. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
  • 81', 4 - 2, Hojbjerg P. ⚽, Nadir B. (A),
  • 83', Marchetti V. ↓, Hamel P. ↑,
  • 83', Sangui N. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
  • 85', Greenwood M. (Pen),
  • 88', Vaz R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Garcia U. ↓, Cornelius D. ↑,
  • 90+1', Gouiri A. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
  • 90+6', 5 - 2, Vaz R. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
66.7%		Draw
19.6%		Paris FC
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 20.4% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7% 19.5% 12.5%

Olympique Marseille - Paris FC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.43 ↑
(1.41)		 4.83 ↑
(4.58)		 7.04 ↓
(7.15)		 5.1%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 34 - 89.5%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 79.8% – 99.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Marseille has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Marseille is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Harit A. (Inactive) Kondogbia G. (Inactive) Medina F. (Injury) Paixao I. (Muscle Injury) Rabiot A. (Coach's decision) Rowe J. (Coach's decision)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
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    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1573521:16524
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Angers1664617:18-122
    10Toulouse1555521:19220
    11Brest1554620:24-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Lorient1545619:28-917
    14Paris FC1544721:26-516
    15Le Havre1536613:21-815
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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