Result
2:2
31/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 20
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, CANAL+ Foot, DAZN France, Free, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 2.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (427/491) | 86% (400/467) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 2.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (427/491) | 86% (400/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (24/45) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (86/113) | 72% (84/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Greenwood M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Lopez M. ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 2, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
- 64', Simon M. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
- 64', Krasso J. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
- 64', Gory A. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
- 67', Aubameyang P. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
- 67', Nwaneri E. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
- 72', Medina F. 🟨,
- 79', Paixao I. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
- 79', Timber Q. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
- 80', Weah T. ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
- 81', Traore H. J. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Ikone J. ⚽, Camara A. (A),
- 86', Camara A. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
- 90+2', Rulli G. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Kebbal I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+7', Nadir B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paris FC
23.4% | Draw
24.4% | Olympique Marseille
52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Paris FC - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.07 ↑
(3.96) |
3.92 ↓
(3.98) |
1.83 ↑
(1.8) |
4.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). Marseille will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 49.5% – 80.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Marseille (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Paris FC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Paris FC has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Marseille is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Chergui S.
(Injury)
De Smet T.
(Injury)
Dicko N.
(Inactive)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Lees-Melou P.
(Shin Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Emerson
(Thigh Injury)
Gomes A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Paris FC: Lopez M.
(Thigh Injury)
Traore H.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paris FC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Olympique Marseille?
Paris FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Paris FC?
Olympique Marseille has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
23.08.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Paris FC
5:2
Latest results of Paris FC
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
