Rennes vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Rennes - Olympique Marseille
Result
1:0
15/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 1
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 1
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV1, Sport TV2, Sport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.78
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
1224
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
77% (220/284)92% (645/704)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.050.62
Total shots
1224
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
213
Blocked Shots
59
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
1731
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
108
Passes
77% (220/284)92% (645/704)
Long passes
43% (20/47)66% (23/35)
Passes in final third
56% (31/55)85% (209/245)
Crosses
50% (1/2)29% (10/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.36
Throw-ins
1117
Fouls
811
Tackles
73% (8/11)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3733
Clearances
3816
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.621.05
Goals prevented
0.620.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Rabiot A. 🟨,
  • 31', Ait Boudlal A. 🟥,
  • 37', Tamari M. 🟨,
  • 37', Meite M. ↓, Wooh C. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kondogbia G. ↓, Weah T. ↑,
  • 63', Rowe J. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
  • 64', Rieder F. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
  • 78', Murillo M. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
  • 84', Garcia U. 🟨,
  • 85', Tamari M. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
  • 85', Frankowski P. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
  • 86', Fofana S. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
  • 86', Gomes A. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
  • 89', Rongier V. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, Blas L. ⚽, Merlin Q. (A),
  • 90+4', Balerdi L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rennes
25.4%		Draw
25.9%		Olympique Marseille
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 25.4% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 25.2% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-1%)
    •

    Rennes - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.74 ↑
    (3.51)    		 3.69 ↓
    (3.79)    		 1.95 ↓
    (2.03)    		 5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Rennes - Olympique Marseille?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (60 of 70 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.51% – 93.91%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2.
    • Recent performances by Rennes have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marseille is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Marseille has had a series of home games.
    • Marseille might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Rennes: Seidu A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Medina F. (Yellow Cards) Paixao I. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Olympique Marseille - Rennes 4:2
    11.01.2025 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 1:2
    17.03.2024 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 2:0
    21.01.2024 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    03.12.2023 Olympique Marseille - Rennes 2:0
    Latest results of Rennes
    09.08.2025 Rennes - Genoa 2:2
    02.08.2025 Real Sociedad - Rennes 1:1 ✺
    02.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Rennes 0:0
    26.07.2025 Nantes - Rennes 1:3
    18.07.2025 Rennes - Brest 2:3
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    09.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Aston Villa 3:1
    02.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Sevilla 1:1 ✺
    29.07.2025 Olympique Marseille - Valencia 1:1 ✺
    26.07.2025 Olympique Marseille - Girona 2:0
    21.07.2025 ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Olympique Marseille 1:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rennes11001:013
    2Lyon11001:013
    3Auxerre00000:000
    4Le Havre00000:000
    5Lille00000:000
    6Lorient00000:000
    7Metz00000:000
    8Monaco00000:000
    9Nantes00000:000
    10Nice00000:000
    11PSG00000:000
    12Strasbourg00000:000
    13Angers00000:000
    14Brest00000:000
    15Paris FC00000:000
    16Toulouse00000:000
    17Marseille10010:1-10
    18Lens10010:1-10

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          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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