Olympique Marseille vs Rennes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille - Rennes
Result
4:2
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 34
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN France, Free, TV5 Monde Europe
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 12
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.051.15
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
90% (505/564)84% (303/359)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
4.051.15
xG on target (xGOT)
4.471.26
Total shots
179
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
3015
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
128
Passes
90% (505/564)84% (303/359)
Long passes
58% (22/38)55% (18/33)
Passes in final third
74% (83/112)73% (48/66)
Crosses
50% (4/8)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.730.59
Throw-ins
1618
Fouls
812
Tackles
81% (17/21)91% (10/11)
Duels won
4131
Clearances
1214
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.264.47
Goals prevented
-0.740.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Kone I. ⚽, Brassier L. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 1, Greenwood M. (Pen),
  • 27', Greenwood M. (Pen),
  • 29', Kone I. 🟨,
  • 30', Rouault A. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 1, Rabiot A. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
  • 40', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
  • 45+1', 3 - 1, Greenwood M. ⚽, Rowe J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Luiz Felipe ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
  • 50', Assignon L. 🟨,
  • 61', Jacquet J. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
  • 61', Kone I. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
  • 61', Matusiwa A. ↓, James J. ↑,
  • 64', Murillo M. 🟨,
  • 64', Bennacer I. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
  • 64', Merlin Q. ↓, Dedic A. ↑,
  • 71', Rowe J. ↓, Harit A. ↑,
  • 71', Blas L. ↓, Olaigbe K. ↑,
  • 77', 3 - 2, Gomez C. A. ⚽, Olaigbe K. (A),
  • 83', Gouiri A. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,
  • 89', Dedic A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 4 - 2, Rabiot A. ⚽, Harit A. (A),
  • 90+4', Samba B. ↓, Mandanda S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
57.2%		Draw
22.4%		Rennes
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 21.8% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 21.5% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Olympique Marseille - Rennes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.67 ↑
    (1.59)    		 4.27 ↓
    (4.36)    		 4.66 ↓
    (5.19)    		 4.7%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Rennes?
  • Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 57 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 78.1% – 94.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).
    • Marseille is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 3.
    • Marseille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Rennes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Marseille is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Ankle Injury) Kondogbia G. (Inactive) Mbemba Ch. (Inactive) Rongier V. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Rennes: Seidu A. (Knee Injury) Wooh C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Bennacer I. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Rennes were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 1:2
    17.03.2024 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 2:0
    21.01.2024 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    03.12.2023 Olympique Marseille - Rennes 2:0
    05.03.2023 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 0:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    10.05.2025 Le Havre - Olympique Marseille 1:3 ✺
    04.05.2025 Lille - Olympique Marseille 1:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 4:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Montpellier 5:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Monaco - Olympique Marseille 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Rennes
    10.05.2025 Rennes - Nice 2:0 ✺
    03.05.2025 Toulouse - Rennes 2:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 Lyon - Rennes 4:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Rennes - Nantes 2:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 1:5 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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