Result
4:2
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 34
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Albania | SuperSport 4 |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN France, Free, TV5 Monde Europe |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
India | GXR World |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 12 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
4.05 | 1.15 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
90% (505/564) | 84% (303/359) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
4.05 | 1.15 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
4.47 | 1.26 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
90% (505/564) | 84% (303/359) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (22/38) | 55% (18/33) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (83/112) | 73% (48/66) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (4/8) | 23% (3/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.73 | 0.59 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (17/21) | 91% (10/11) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 31 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.26 | 4.47 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.74 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Kone I. ⚽, Brassier L. (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Greenwood M. (Pen),
- 27', Greenwood M. (Pen),
- 29', Kone I. 🟨,
- 30', Rouault A. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 1, Rabiot A. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
- 40', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
- 45+1', 3 - 1, Greenwood M. ⚽, Rowe J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Luiz Felipe ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
- 50', Assignon L. 🟨,
- 61', Jacquet J. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
- 61', Kone I. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
- 61', Matusiwa A. ↓, James J. ↑,
- 64', Murillo M. 🟨,
- 64', Bennacer I. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
- 64', Merlin Q. ↓, Dedic A. ↑,
- 71', Rowe J. ↓, Harit A. ↑,
- 71', Blas L. ↓, Olaigbe K. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 2, Gomez C. A. ⚽, Olaigbe K. (A),
- 83', Gouiri A. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,
- 89', Dedic A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 4 - 2, Rabiot A. ⚽, Harit A. (A),
- 90+4', Samba B. ↓, Mandanda S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille 57.2% | Draw 22.4% | Rennes 20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Olympique Marseille - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↑ (1.59) |
4.27 ↓ (4.36) |
4.66 ↓ (5.19) |
4.7% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
66 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 57 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 78.1% – 94.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).
- Marseille is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 3.
- Marseille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Rennes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Marseille is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Ankle Injury)
Kondogbia G.
(Inactive)
Mbemba Ch.
(Inactive)
Rongier V.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Rennes: Seidu A.
(Knee Injury)
Wooh C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Bennacer I.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Rennes?
Olympique Marseille has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Olympique Marseille?
Rennes has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Rennes were as follows:
11.01.2025
Rennes
-
Olympique Marseille
1:2
17.03.2024
Rennes
-
Olympique Marseille
2:0
21.01.2024
Rennes
-
Olympique Marseille
2:1
03.12.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Rennes
2:0
05.03.2023
Rennes
-
Olympique Marseille
0:1
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2