Olympique Marseille vs Rennes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
03/02/2026 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.640.40
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
44
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
23
Passes
90% (426/472)88% (423/481)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
1.640.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.30
Total shots
911
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free kicks
1319
Passes
90% (426/472)88% (423/481)
Long passes
44% (15/34)53% (16/30)
Passes in final third
72% (49/68)70% (74/105)
Crosses
20% (3/15)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.29
Throw ins
1513
Fouls
1913
Tackles
52% (11/21)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4652
Clearances
1912
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
0.301.78
Goals prevented
0.30-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Gouiri A. , Weah T. (A),
  • 22', Nwaneri E. 🟨,
  • 31', Kamara G. , Nagida M. ,
  • 42', Seidu A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lepaul E. , Embolo B. ,
  • 46', Nwaneri E. , Nadir B. ,
  • 46', 2 - 0, Greenwood M. , Gouiri A. (A),
  • 58', Seidu A. , Blas L. ,
  • 67', Merlin Q. 🟨,
  • 70', Timber Q. , Kondogbia G. ,
  • 74', Ait Boudlal A. 🟨,
  • 78', Gouiri A. , Aubameyang P. ,
  • 78', Paixao I. , Traore H. J. ,
  • 79', Merlin Q. , Legendre E. ,
  • 79', Ait Boudlal A. , Brassier L. ,
  • 83', Emerson , Pavard B. ,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Aubameyang P. , Greenwood M. (A),
  • 87', De Zerbi R. 🟨,
  • 90', Kondogbia G. 🟨,
  • 90', Balerdi L. 🟨,
  • 90', Embolo B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
64.2%
Draw
19.3%
Rennes
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 23% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 24.6% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.
  • Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Olympique Marseille - Rennes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.61)
    4.86
    (4.07)
    5.81
    (4.97)
    6.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Rennes?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Marseille (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.69%94.31%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Marseille (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Marseille is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Rennes were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    17.05.2025 Olympique Marseille - Rennes 4:2
    11.01.2025 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 1:2
    17.03.2024 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 2:0
    21.01.2024 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Rennes
    31.01.2026 Monaco - Rennes 4:0
    24.01.2026 Rennes - Lorient 0:2
    18.01.2026 Rennes - Le Havre 1:1
    11.01.2026 Chantilly - Rennes 1:3
    03.01.2026 Lille - Rennes 0:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    2CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    4ByeLille
    5LyonBye
    7Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    8FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    9SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    10SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    11SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    12TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    13Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    14St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    15Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    16Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    17EspoirEveil1 : 0
    18ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    19SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    20US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    21Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    22LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    23TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    24AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    25Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    26PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    27SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    28Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    29LensBye
    31APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    32CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    33YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    34BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    35Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    36BloisClermont2 : 1
    37MarseilleBye
    39Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    40Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    41CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    42PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    43WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    44BesanconThionville4 : 0
    45Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    46PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    48ByeRennes
    49PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    50OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    52ByeAngers
    53PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    54Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    56ByeToulouse
    57MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    58GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    59Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    60LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    61Le HavreBye
    63Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    64AubyAmiens0 : 3
    65BrestBye
    67AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    68SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    69StrasbourgBye
    71ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    72BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    73Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    74OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    75JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    76Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    77AuxerreBye
    80ByeMonaco
    81Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    82ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    83FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    84EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    85IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    86Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    87AvionTorcy0 : 2
    88OCPAMReims0 : 1
    89Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    90IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    91Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    92MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    93CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    94Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    95SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    96GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    97Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    98Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    99AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    100Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    101LorientBye
    103MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    104OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    105PSGBye
    107FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    108Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    109Paris FCBye
    111MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    112MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    113Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    114St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    116ByeNantes
    117NiceBye
    119Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    120QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    121Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    122ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    124ByeMetz
    125AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    126LavaurRodez1 : 3
    127MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    128AgdeMontpellier0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    2ByeLille
    3LyonBye
    4Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    5SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    6SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    7Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    8LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    9EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    10Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    11Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    12TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    13Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    14SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    15LensBye
    16APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    17YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    18RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    19MarseilleBye
    20SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    21CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    22FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    23Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    24ByeRennes
    25PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    26ByeAngers
    27Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    28ByeToulouse
    29MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    30ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    31Le HavreBye
    32Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4
    33BrestBye
    34AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    35StrasbourgBye
    36AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    37Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    38BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    39AuxerreBye
    40ByeMonaco
    41ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    42MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    43IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    44TorcyReims1 : 5
    45Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    46PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    47AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    48SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    49MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    50Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    51LorientBye
    52AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    53PSGBye
    54FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    55Paris FCBye
    56Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    57ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    58ByeNantes
    59NiceBye
    60Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    61BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    62ByeMetz
    63Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    64MontceauMontpellier0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1LusitanosLille0 : 1
    2LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    3IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    4GuingampLaval0 : 1
    5PontivyBastia0 : 1
    6Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    7SochauxBethune4 : 2
    8LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    9BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    10MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    11ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    12Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    13Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    14Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    15MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    16Le HavreAmiens0 : 2
    17BrestAvranches1 : 2
    18StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    19OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    20AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    21Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    22IC CroixReims0 : 4
    23Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    24GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    25Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    26LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    27PSGFontenay4 : 0
    28Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    29ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    30NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    31BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    32Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1LilleLyon1 : 2
    2IstresLaval0 : 2
    3BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    4SochauxLens0 : 3
    5BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    6ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    7AngersToulouse1 : 2
    8MontreuilAmiens2 : 4
    9AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    10OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    11Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    12Le MansNancy1 : 0
    13Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    14PSGParis FC0 : 1
    15NantesNice1 : 2
    16MetzMontpellier0 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1LyonLaval2 : 0
    2TroyesLens2 : 4
    3MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    4ToulouseAmiens1 : 0
    5StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    6ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    7LorientParis FC2 : 0
    8NiceMontpellier3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1LyonLens2 : 3
    2MarseilleToulouse2 : 3
    3StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    4LorientNice0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1LensToulouse4 : 1
    2StrasbourgNice0 : 2

    Final
    1LensNice