Villarreal vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
14/03/2024 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Villarreal
42.7%
Draw
25.6%
Olympique Marseille
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 24.5% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 24.5% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Villarreal - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.19)
    3.75
    (3.97)
    3.03
    (3.11)
    3.9%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Villarreal - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 39 - 58.2%). Marseille will win (votes: 13 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 22.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 46.4%70%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-4.
    • Villarreal is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Marseille is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recently Marseille have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Albiol R. (Muscle Injury) Foyth J. (Knee Injury) Pedraza A. (Ankle Injury) Pino Y. (Knee Injury) Suarez D. (Muscle Injury) Terrats R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Gigot S. (Shoulder Injury) Murillo M. (Muscle Injury) Nadir B. (Knee Injury) Ngapandouetnbu S. (Injury) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    07.03.2024 Olympique Marseille - Villarreal 4:0
    Latest results of Villarreal
    10.03.2024 Betis - Villarreal 2:3
    03.03.2024 Villarreal - Granada 5:1
    23.02.2024 Real Sociedad - Villarreal 1:3
    16.02.2024 Villarreal - Getafe 1:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2