V-Varen Nagasaki vs Omiya Ardija – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/06/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Peace Stadium (Nagasaki).

J2 League - Round 19
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
5	7
Corner Kicks
8	6
Passes
81% (422/524)	78% (262/338)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
12	6
Corner Kicks
8	6
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
12	10
Passes
81% (422/524)	78% (262/338)
Fouls
7	8
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Sunday O. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Abe T. ⚽,
40', Gabriel ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 2, Caprini ⚽, Sugimoto K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 2 - 2, Shimoguchi W. (Own goal),
55', 2 - 3, Sunday O. ⚽, Ichihara R. (A),
62', Sunday O. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
65', Caprini ↓, Toyokawa Y. ↑,
65', Yamasaki R. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
65', Masuyama A. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
72', Kojima M. 🟨,
74', Abe T. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
74', Teruyama H. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,
78', Sekiguchi K. ↓, Motegi R. ↑,
80', Ishikawa T. ↓, Yachida T. ↑,
80', Sugimoto K. ↓, Tsukui T. ↑,
80', Motegi R. 🟨,
80', Emerson Deocleciano ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
81', 3 - 3, Juanma Delgado ⚽,
90+2', Egawa Y. 🟨,
90+5', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Nagura T. ↑,

Chances of winning

V-Varen Nagasaki
43.4%

Draw
25.9%

Omiya Ardija
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

26.6%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.26)	3.56 ↑ (3.45)	2.99 ↑ (2.79)	8.2% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Omiya will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 9.6% – 70.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
V-Varen Nagasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Omiya Ardija?

V-Varen Nagasaki has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Omiya Ardija won against V-Varen Nagasaki?

Omiya Ardija has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija were as follows:

26.08.2023 Omiya Ardija - V-Varen Nagasaki 0:4

17.06.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija 2:0

23.10.2022 Omiya Ardija - V-Varen Nagasaki 3:3

Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki

31.05.2025 Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - JEF United Chiba 1:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Oita Trinita - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2 ✺

11.05.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 1:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Kataller Toyama - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Omiya Ardija

08.06.2025 Omiya Ardija - Ehime 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata 2:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Fujieda MYFC - Omiya Ardija 0:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Omiya Ardija - Vegalta Sendai 3:0 ✺

06.05.2025 JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija 1:2 ✺

Japan J2 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mito	23	14	6	3	36:17	19	48
2	Chiba	23	12	5	6	33:21	12	41
3	Vegalta Sendai	23	11	8	4	28:21	7	41
4	Sagan Tosu	23	11	6	6	25:21	4	39
5	Omiya Ardija	23	10	8	5	32:21	11	38
6	Tokushima	23	10	8	5	23:13	10	38
7	Iwata	23	11	5	7	36:28	8	38
8	V-Varen Nagasaki	23	10	8	5	39:35	4	38
9	Kofu	23	8	8	7	23:20	3	32
10	Imabari	23	7	10	6	27:23	4	31
11	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	23	9	4	10	30:39	-9	31
12	Oita Trinita	23	6	9	8	20:23	-3	27
13	Fujieda MYFC	23	7	6	10	26:30	-4	27
14	Iwaki	23	6	8	9	28:32	-4	26
15	Blaublitz	23	7	3	13	28:42	-14	24
16	Montedio Yamagata	23	6	5	12	31:35	-4	23
17	Toyama	23	5	7	11	19:27	-8	22
18	Kumamoto	23	5	6	12	26:36	-10	21
19	Renofa Yamaguchi	23	3	10	10	19:28	-9	19
20	Ehime	23	2	10	11	23:40	-17	16

      Promotion ~ J1 League
      Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
      Relegation ~ J3 League