V-Varen Nagasaki vs Omiya Ardija – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija
Result
3:3
15/06/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
81% (422/524)78% (262/338)
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
126
Corner Kicks
86
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
81% (422/524)78% (262/338)
Fouls
78
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Sunday O. ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Abe T. ,
  • 40', Gabriel , Murakami Y. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Caprini , Sugimoto K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 2, Shimoguchi W. (Own goal),
  • 55', 2 - 3, Sunday O. , Ichihara R. (A),
  • 62', Sunday O. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 65', Caprini , Toyokawa Y. ,
  • 65', Yamasaki R. , Juanma Delgado ,
  • 65', Masuyama A. , Matsuzawa K. ,
  • 72', Kojima M. 🟨,
  • 74', Abe T. , Matsumoto T. ,
  • 74', Teruyama H. , Yoneda S. ,
  • 78', Sekiguchi K. , Motegi R. ,
  • 80', Ishikawa T. , Yachida T. ,
  • 80', Sugimoto K. , Tsukui T. ,
  • 80', Motegi R. 🟨,
  • 80', Emerson Deocleciano , Kasayanagi T. ,
  • 81', 3 - 3, Juanma Delgado ,
  • 90+2', Egawa Y. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Marcos Guilherme , Nagura T. ,

Chances of winning


V-Varen Nagasaki
43.4%
Draw
25.9%
Omiya Ardija
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 26.6% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 27.3% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.26)
    3.56
    (3.45)
    2.99
    (2.79)
    8.2%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Omiya will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • V-Varen Nagasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Omiya Ardija - V-Varen Nagasaki 0:4
    17.06.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija 2:0
    23.10.2022 Omiya Ardija - V-Varen Nagasaki 3:3
    Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
    Latest results of Omiya Ardija
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito23146336:171948
    2Chiba23125633:211241
    3Vegalta Sendai23118428:21741
    4Sagan Tosu23116625:21439
    5Omiya Ardija23108532:211138
    6Tokushima23108523:131038
    7Iwata23115736:28838
    8V-Varen Nagasaki23108539:35438
    9Kofu2388723:20332
    10Imabari23710627:23431
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo23941030:39-931
    12Oita Trinita2369820:23-327
    13Fujieda MYFC23761026:30-427
    14Iwaki2368928:32-426
    15Blaublitz23731328:42-1424
    16Montedio Yamagata23651231:35-423
    17Toyama23571119:27-822
    18Kumamoto23561226:36-1021
    19Renofa Yamaguchi233101019:28-919
    20Ehime232101123:40-1716

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League