Result
0:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Omonia TV |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 12 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 13, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 13 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/381) | 83% (394/475) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/381) | 83% (394/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/63) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (38/70) | 69% (102/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Nordin A. 🟨,
- 60', Masouras G. ↓, Chatzigiovanis A. ↑,
- 60', Eiting C. ↓, Erakovic N. ↑,
- 60', Mmaee R. ↓, Neofytou A. ↑,
- 64', Veratschnig N. ↓, Bobzien B. ↑,
- 64', Potulski K. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
- 71', Sieb A. ↓, Hollerbach B. ↑,
- 74', Agouzoul S. 🟨,
- 75', 0 - 1, Amiri N. (Pen),
- 80', Simic S. ↓, Dionkou A. ↑,
- 80', Semedo W. ↓, Andreou E. ↑,
- 89', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
- 89', Amiri N. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Omonia
20.6% | Draw
23.8% | Mainz
55.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Omonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mainz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Omonia - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.59 ↑
(3.72) |
3.96 ↑
(3.6) |
1.73 ↓
(1.91) |
5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Omonia - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Mainz will win (votes: 27 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 60.9% – 89.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Mainz (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Mainz (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Mainz (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Omonia (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Mainz (1.16) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Omonia (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Mainz (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Omonia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mainz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Mainz is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Omonia: Jovetic S.
(Injury)
Maric M.
(Red Card)
Stepinski M.
(Inactive)
Tankovic M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mainz: Bos K.
(Inactive)
Caci A.
(Muscle Injury)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Gleiber D.
(Thigh Injury)
Tauer N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Hollerbach B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Omonia won against Mainz?
Omonia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Omonia?
Mainz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Omonia - Mainz were as follows:
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
