Omonia vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Omonia TV
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 12
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 13
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.53
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
77% (294/381)83% (394/475)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.85
Total shots
817
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
08
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1539
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
98
Passes
77% (294/381)83% (394/475)
Long passes
41% (26/63)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
54% (38/70)69% (102/148)
Crosses
33% (3/9)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.03
Throw-ins
2724
Fouls
89
Tackles
56% (14/25)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.850.48
Goals prevented
-0.150.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Nordin A. 🟨,
  • 60', Masouras G. , Chatzigiovanis A. ,
  • 60', Eiting C. , Erakovic N. ,
  • 60', Mmaee R. , Neofytou A. ,
  • 64', Veratschnig N. , Bobzien B. ,
  • 64', Potulski K. , Hanche-Olsen A. ,
  • 71', Sieb A. , Hollerbach B. ,
  • 74', Agouzoul S. 🟨,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Amiri N. (Pen),
  • 80', Simic S. , Dionkou A. ,
  • 80', Semedo W. , Andreou E. ,
  • 89', Mwene P. , Widmer S. ,
  • 89', Amiri N. , Maloney L. ,

Chances of winning


Omonia
20.6%
Draw
23.8%
Mainz
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 26% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 27% 50.7%

Omonia - Mainz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.59
(3.72)
3.96
(3.6)
1.73
(1.91)
5%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Omonia - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Mainz will win (votes: 27 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 60.9%89.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Omonia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Mainz (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Omonia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mainz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Mainz is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Omonia: Jovetic S. (Injury) Maric M. (Red Card) Stepinski M. (Inactive) Tankovic M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bos K. (Inactive) Caci A. (Muscle Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Gleiber D. (Thigh Injury) Tauer N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Hollerbach B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Omonia
    28.09.2025 Anorthosis - Omonia 0:5
    22.09.2025 Omonia - AEL Limassol 5:0
    17.09.2025 Omonia - AEK Larnaca 1:0
    13.09.2025 Omonia - Akritas Chlorakas 3:0
    31.08.2025 Ethnikos Achna - Omonia 2:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    27.09.2025 Mainz - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    20.09.2025 Augsburg - Mainz 1:4
    13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1
    31.08.2025 Wolfsburg - Mainz 1:1
    28.08.2025 Mainz - Rosenborg 4:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor43109:2710
    2Strasbourg43107:4310
    3Celje43018:449
    4Shakhtar Donetsk43018:539
    5Mainz43014:229
    6Rakow42207:258
    7AEK Larnaca42205:058
    8Drita42204:228
    9Jagiellonia42204:228
    10AEK Athens42119:457
    11Sparta Prague42115:237
    12Rayo Vallecano42118:627
    13Lausanne42115:327
    14Sigma Olomouc42115:507
    15Univ. Craiova42113:307
    16Lech Poznan42029:636
    17Fiorentina42026:336
    18Crystal Palace42026:426
    19Zrinjski42027:8-16
    20AZ Alkmaar42024:7-36
    21Omonia41214:315
    22KuPS41214:315
    23Noah41214:405
    24Rijeka41212:205
    25Shkendija41122:4-24
    26Lincoln Red Imps41124:10-64
    27Dyn. Kyiv41036:7-13
    28Legia41033:5-23
    29Slovan Bratislava41034:7-33
    30Hamrun41033:6-33
    31Hacken40224:6-22
    32Breidablik40222:7-52
    33Aberdeen40223:10-72
    34Shelbourne40130:4-41
    35Shamrock Rovers40133:9-61
    36SK Rapid40042:12-100

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