Omonia vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Omonia - Mainz
Result
0:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Omonia TV
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 12
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 13
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.53
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
77% (294/381)83% (394/475)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.85
Total shots
817
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
08
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1539
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
98
Passes
77% (294/381)83% (394/475)
Long passes
41% (26/63)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
54% (38/70)69% (102/148)
Crosses
33% (3/9)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.03
Throw-ins
2724
Fouls
89
Tackles
56% (14/25)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.850.48
Goals prevented
-0.150.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Nordin A. 🟨,
  • 60', Masouras G. ↓, Chatzigiovanis A. ↑,
  • 60', Eiting C. ↓, Erakovic N. ↑,
  • 60', Mmaee R. ↓, Neofytou A. ↑,
  • 64', Veratschnig N. ↓, Bobzien B. ↑,
  • 64', Potulski K. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
  • 71', Sieb A. ↓, Hollerbach B. ↑,
  • 74', Agouzoul S. 🟨,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Amiri N. (Pen),
  • 80', Simic S. ↓, Dionkou A. ↑,
  • 80', Semedo W. ↓, Andreou E. ↑,
  • 89', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
  • 89', Amiri N. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,

Chances of winning


Omonia
20.6%		Draw
23.8%		Mainz
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 26% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 27% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Omonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mainz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
    •

    Omonia - Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.59 ↑
    (3.72)    		 3.96 ↑
    (3.6)    		 1.73 ↓
    (1.91)    		 5%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Omonia - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Mainz will win (votes: 27 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 60.9% – 89.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Omonia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Mainz (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Omonia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mainz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Mainz is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Omonia: Jovetic S. (Injury) Maric M. (Red Card) Stepinski M. (Inactive) Tankovic M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bos K. (Inactive) Caci A. (Muscle Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Gleiber D. (Thigh Injury) Tauer N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Hollerbach B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Omonia
    28.09.2025 Anorthosis - Omonia 0:5 ✺
    22.09.2025 Omonia - AEL Limassol 5:0 ✺
    17.09.2025 Omonia - AEK Larnaca 1:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Omonia - Akritas Chlorakas 3:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Ethnikos Achna - Omonia 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Mainz
    27.09.2025 Mainz - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Augsburg - Mainz 1:4 ✺
    13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Wolfsburg - Mainz 1:1 ✺
    28.08.2025 Mainz - Rosenborg 4:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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