Alianza Valledupar vs Once Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/02/2026 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.410.48
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
32
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
82
Passes
81% (288/357)81% (312/384)
Yellow cards
50
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.410.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.550.24
Total shots
148
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
76
Blocked shots
40
Shots inside the box
52
Shots outside the box
96
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
138
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free kicks
913
Passes
81% (288/357)81% (312/384)
Long passes
39% (15/38)49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
68% (78/115)66% (69/104)
Crosses
30% (9/30)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.48
Throw ins
168
Fouls
139
Tackles
60% (6/10)100% (4/4)
Duels won
2831
Clearances
1434
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.240.55
Goals prevented
-0.76-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Fiorelli F. , Lucumi C. ,
  • 52', Pardo F. , Villegas C. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Villegas C. ,
  • 61', Lucumi C. 🟨,
  • 66', Barrios M. , Zapata Ramirez J. A. ,
  • 66', Riquett J. , Navarro E. ,
  • 66', Quinones J. , Gomez P. ,
  • 70', Fernandez W. 🟨,
  • 76', Moreno D. , Quinones D. ,
  • 81', Lucumi C. 🟨,
  • 83', Lasso J. , Figueroa J. ,
  • 83', Fernandez W. , Perez E. ,
  • 86', Figueroa J. 🟨,
  • 87', Castillo J. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ,
  • 90+6', Munoz J. , Valoyes J. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/kkw3zjp3

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
36.2%
Draw
31.6%
Once Caldas
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 30.3% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.48)
    2.94
    (3.08)
    2.89
    (2.92)
    7.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Alianza (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 3.
    • Once Caldas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas 0:0
    02.03.2025 Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar 1:2
    05.10.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas 1:0
    25.03.2024 Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar 1:0
    25.09.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas 2:1
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional1290326:91727
    2Dep. Pasto1273218:14424
    3Once Caldas1365224:17723
    4Inter Bogotu00e11356217:18-121
    5Millonarios1362523:14920
    6America De Cali1162316:8820
    7Deportes Tolima1255215:9620
    8Bucaramanga1147016:61019
    9Junior1261517:18-119
    10Dep. Cali1344514:12216
    11Aguilas1244412:12016
    12Llaneros1236314:13115
    13Santa Fe1236314:15-115
    14Fortaleza1235413:18-514
    15Ind. Medellin1234516:17-113
    16Jaguares de Cordoba1332811:23-1211
    17Alianza122557:19-1211
    18Chico1222810:20-108
    19Cucuta1214716:25-97
    20Pereira1105610:22-125

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