Result
1:2
02/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Colombia | Win Sports, Win Sports+, Win Sports Online |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (330/389) | 87% (390/448) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (64/103) | 69% (59/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 20% (3/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 56% (5/9) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Mendoza Benitez D. A. 🟨,
- 14', Rodas M. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Palacios L. ⚽, Garcia Castillo A. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Pardo F. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 53', Franco P. 🟨,
- 59', Dorrego H. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 59', Contreras J. ↓, Valencia Y. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Fernandez W. ⚽,
- 70', Alvarez G. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 70', Quinones Caicedo C. D. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 72', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 73', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 76', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 81', Fernandez W. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
- 81', Pardo F. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 84', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Munoz J. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
- 90+2', Martinez M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2cvnbc78
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
40% | Draw
31.9% | Alianza Valledupar
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Once Caldas's form might have worsened.Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Valledupar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(1.72) |
2.91 ↓
(3.41) |
3.3 ↓
(5.03) |
7.8%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
Once Caldas will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 1.
- Once Caldas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Alianza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alianza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Once Caldas will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:21 (average 1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Once Caldas won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Alianza Valledupar?
Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Once Caldas?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
05.10.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Once Caldas
1:0
25.03.2024
Once Caldas
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
25.09.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Once Caldas
2:1
18.04.2023
Once Caldas
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:2
23.10.2022
Once Caldas
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
