Result
0:0
15/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Moncada A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (287/345) | 83% (280/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (287/345) | 83% (280/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (64/96) | 81% (87/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Saldana L. 🟨,
- 45+2', Mejia R. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Manjarres R. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 55', Gil M. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
- 57', Moreno K. 🟨,
- 64', Gomez P. ↓, Valencia Y. ↑,
- 64', Quinones D. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 65', Munoz J. ↓, Perez Balcazar J. E. ↑,
- 65', Del Valle A. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
- 76', Mosquera F. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 79', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Cubides S. ↑,
- 86', Castano J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yd9p9n9z
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
49.1% | Draw
28.4% | Once Caldas
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Valledupar's performance.Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.13) |
3.32 ↑
(3.13) |
4.28 ↑
(3.56) |
6.3%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
Alianza Valledupar will win
(31 of 37 users predict this - 83.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.9% – 95.66%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Valledupar will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 4.
- Alianza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Once Caldas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Alianza is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Once Caldas?
Alianza Valledupar has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Alianza Valledupar?
Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas were as follows:
02.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:2
05.10.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Once Caldas
1:0
25.03.2024
Once Caldas
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
25.09.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Once Caldas
2:1
18.04.2023
Once Caldas
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:2
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
