Once Caldas vs Boyacá Chicó – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/02/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Palogrande (Manizales).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 9
Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.10	0.35
Ball possession
62%	38%
Total shots
20	13
Shots on target
9	3
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
7	1
Passes
87% (379/438)	76% (207/272)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
2.10	0.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.77	0.25
Total shots
20	13
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
6	5
Shots inside the box
11	3
Shots outside the box
9	10
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Headed goals
2	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
39	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
6	15
Passes
87% (379/438)	76% (207/272)
Long passes
55% (21/38)	42% (30/71)
Passes in final third
82% (192/233)	38% (21/56)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.17
Throw ins
19	9
Fouls
15	6
Tackles
83% (10/12)	83% (5/6)
Duels won
28	26
Clearances
8	32
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	6
xGOT faced
0.25	1.77
Goals prevented
0.25	-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Castano J. 🟨,
10', Banguero A. 🟨,
35', Valencia N. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
44', Quiceno J. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽, Cuesta Santos J. D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castano J. ↓, Riquett J. ↑,
46', Ruiz D. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
46', Aedo A. ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
46', Salazar S. ↓, Montano I. ↑,
64', Quinones J. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
64', Gomez P. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
64', Saldana A. 🟨,
70', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
71', Sanchez L. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
80', Mejia R. 🟨,
83', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Jordan J. ↑,
90+1', Palma J. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Moreno D. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning

Once Caldas
62.9%

Draw
23.9%

Boyacá Chicó
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

20.8%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

19.6%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Once Caldas's form might have worsened.

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.35)	3.83 ↓ (4.51)	7.14 ↓ (9.44)	7.1% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 3.
In recent matches, Once Caldas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Boyacá Chicó is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Once Caldas is the clear favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Boyacá Chicó?

Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Once Caldas?

Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó were as follows:

26.09.2025 Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó 5:2

12.04.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas 0:0

15.07.2024 Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas 0:1

20.01.2024 Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó 2:1

08.10.2023 Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas 2:1

Latest results of Once Caldas

21.02.2026 Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF 4:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas 2:1 ✺

12.02.2026 Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla 2:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas 1:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Once Caldas - Jaguares de Córdoba 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Boyacá Chicó

22.02.2026 Boyacá Chicó - Rionegro Águilas 0:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó 2:1 ✺

12.02.2026 Boyacá Chicó - Jaguares de Córdoba 5:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Boyacá Chicó 3:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional	11	8	0	3	23:9	14	24
2	Dep. Pasto	12	7	3	2	18:14	4	24
3	Once Caldas	12	6	5	1	23:13	10	23
4	Inter Bogotu00e1	12	5	6	1	17:15	2	21
5	Bucaramanga	11	4	7	0	16:6	10	19
6	Junior	11	6	1	4	17:16	1	19
7	America De Cali	10	5	2	3	15:8	7	17
8	Millonarios	12	5	2	5	19:13	6	17
9	Deportes Tolima	10	4	4	2	12:8	4	16
10	Dep. Cali	12	4	4	4	14:11	3	16
11	Llaneros	12	3	6	3	14:13	1	15
12	Aguilas	10	4	3	3	11:10	1	15
13	Fortaleza	11	3	5	3	13:16	-3	14
14	Santa Fe	11	2	6	3	12:14	-2	12
15	Ind. Medellin	10	2	4	4	13:15	-2	10
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	11	3	1	7	10:21	-11	10
17	Cucuta	12	1	4	7	16:25	-9	7
18	Chico	11	2	1	8	9:19	-10	7
19	Pereira	11	0	5	6	10:22	-12	5
20	Alianza	10	0	5	5	5:19	-14	5

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )