One Knoxville vs AV Alta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One One Knoxville - AV Alta
Result
3:1
16/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.64
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
72% (179/247)88% (476/539)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.420.98
Total shots
116
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1621
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
72% (179/247)88% (476/539)
Long passes
37% (19/51)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
59% (40/68)70% (90/129)
Crosses
31% (4/13)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.201.11
Throw-ins
2233
Fouls
1212
Tackles
67% (10/15)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3447
Clearances
2426
Interceptions
158
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.982.42
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Doyle M. , Rosamilia N. ,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Brown J. , Rosamilia N. (A),
  • 35', Blancas E. 🟨,
  • 37', Ritchie S. , Martin H. ,
  • 42', Pajaro M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 62', Skelton J. 🟨,
  • 63', Ortiz C. , Martinez W. ,
  • 63', Robledo H. , Alaribe E. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Martinez W. , Aoumaich A. (A),
  • 71', Zarokostas S. , Smith K. ,
  • 71', Goling M. , Johnson C. ,
  • 72', Caputo A. , Haugli S. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Johnson C. , Kelly-Rosales A. (A),
  • 85', Aoumaich A. , Apollon A. ,
  • 89', Ramos S. , Ceja E. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Rosamilia N. ,
  • 90+5', Martinez W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


One Knoxville
44.5%
Draw
26.4%
AV Alta
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 27.1% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 27.7% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • One Knoxville - AV Alta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.97)
    3.47
    (3.36)
    3.14
    (3.39)
    9.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • One Knoxville has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alta is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • One Knoxville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, One Knoxville is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of One Knoxville
    Latest results of AV Alta
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves20117233:191440
    2Spokane Velocity19115327:161138
    3One Knoxville1997327:171034
    4FC Naples2096528:23533
    5Charlotte Independ2187636:34231
    6AV Alta2178631:29229
    7Texoma2167828:35-725
    8Union Omaha20731028:31-324
    9Greenville2166929:31-224
    10Portland Hearts of Pine1749418:17121
    11Richmond Kickers21551128:35-720
    12Tormenta21551129:40-1120
    13Forward Madison20310717:22-519
    14Westchester SC1937929:39-1016

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )