Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (493/566) | 72% (220/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (493/566) | 72% (220/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (97/118) | 61% (59/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Romero J. ↓, Ousmanou P. ↑,
- 43', Calixtro G. 🟨,
- 45+2', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
- 56', Chaney C. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
- 56', Bakero J. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
- 57', Ousmanou P. 🟨,
- 60', Kelly-Rosales A. ↓, Goling M. ↑,
- 60', Calixtro G. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
- 60', Doyle M. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Brown J. ⚽, Caputo A. (A),
- 72', Spielman N. 🟨,
- 73', Jauregui R. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 73', Sorenson A. 🟨,
- 81', Caputo A. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 85', Thomas J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bull 🟨,
Chances of winning
One Knoxville
47.4% | Draw
26.9% | Charlotte Independence
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that One Knoxville's form might have worsened.Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlotte Independence's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for One Knoxville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.63) |
3.43 ↓
(3.78) |
3.6 ↓
(4.54) |
8.3%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 1.
- Recent performances by One Knoxville have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Charlotte Ind is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of away games.
- One Knoxville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has One Knoxville won against Charlotte Independence?
One Knoxville has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte Independence won against One Knoxville?
Charlotte Independence has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence were as follows:
30.07.2025
One Knoxville
-
Charlotte Independence
2:2
16.05.2025
Charlotte Independence
-
One Knoxville
3:1
07.09.2024
One Knoxville
-
Charlotte Independence
1:1
16.03.2024
Charlotte Independence
-
One Knoxville
1:2
30.09.2023
Charlotte Independence
-
One Knoxville
1:1
Latest results of One Knoxville
Latest results of Charlotte Independence
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 49 |
| 2 | One Knoxville ✔ | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity ✔ | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | FC Naples ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
| 6 | Union Omaha | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Tormenta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Forward Madison | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | AV Alta | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 36:42 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Greenville | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Texoma | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 38:55 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
