One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.95
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
1010
Passes
80% (348/436)72% (232/324)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.281.02
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
1010
Touches in opposition box
2139
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
57
Passes
80% (348/436)72% (232/324)
Long passes
49% (27/55)44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
60% (63/105)61% (69/113)
Crosses
25% (4/16)32% (9/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.51
Throw-ins
3121
Fouls
75
Tackles
57% (8/14)94% (17/18)
Duels won
4958
Clearances
3418
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.021.28
Goals prevented
0.02-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Haugli S. , Tekiela K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', 2 - 0, Zarokostas S. ,
  • 70', Johnson C. , Kelly-Rosales A. ,
  • 70', Rosamilia N. , Calixtro G. ,
  • 73', Bakero J. , Moshobane T. ,
  • 73', Marou S. , Romero J. ,
  • 73', Ousmanou P. , Moreno J. ,
  • 74', Kelly-Rosales A. 🟨,
  • 77', Tekiela K. , Goling M. ,
  • 77', Ndiaye B. , Ciss O. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Chaney C. ,
  • 88', Adewole T. , Jauregui R. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


One Knoxville
54.4%
Draw
24.5%
Charlotte Independence
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 23.7% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 22.8% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.79)
    3.72
    (3.92)
    4.33
    (3.83)
    9.6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 2.
    • One Knoxville is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Charlotte Ind has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, One Knoxville has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, One Knoxville is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that One Knoxville will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence were as follows:
    26.09.2025 One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence 1:0
    30.07.2025 One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence 2:2
    16.05.2025 Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville 3:1
    07.09.2024 One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence 1:1
    16.03.2024 Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville 1:2
    Latest results of One Knoxville
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)