Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (408/458) | 83% (250/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (408/458) | 83% (250/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 61% (39/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (105/133) | 65% (58/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Crull J. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Diene B. ⚽, Goling M. (A),
- 45+2', Mesias A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Bull ↓, Ritchie S. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Gebhard D. ⚽,
- 57', Johnson C. 🟨,
- 62', Diene B. ↓, Meek L. ↑,
- 62', Rosamilia N. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Haugli S. ⚽,
- 69', Garcia C. ↓, Viader D. ↑,
- 69', Mesias A. ↓, Angking I. ↑,
- 77', Lucca Dourado ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
- 82', Zarokostas S. ↓, Calixtro G. ↑,
- 87', Murphy J. ↓, Temitayo E. ↑,
- 90', Goling M. ↓, Caputo A. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, McLaughlin G. ⚽, Chilaka M. (A),
Chances of winning
Forward Madison
31.3% | Draw
29.6% | One Knoxville
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting One Knoxville's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forward Madison, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for One Knoxville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Forward Madison - One Knoxville Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↑
(2.56) |
3.1 ↑
(3.01) |
2.34 ↓
(2.77) |
9.3%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- One Knoxville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, One Knoxville has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against One Knoxville?
Forward Madison has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has One Knoxville won against Forward Madison?
One Knoxville has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - One Knoxville were as follows:
09.05.2025
One Knoxville
-
Forward Madison
1:1
19.10.2024
Forward Madison
-
One Knoxville
0:0
01.10.2024
One Knoxville
-
Forward Madison
1:1
29.06.2024
One Knoxville
-
Forward Madison
2:0
25.05.2024
Forward Madison
-
One Knoxville
1:0
Latest results of Forward Madison
Latest results of One Knoxville
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31:19 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 35 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | FC Naples | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Charlotte Independ | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | AV Alta | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 31:27 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Greenville | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Texoma | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27:35 | -8 | 22 |
| 9 | Union Omaha | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 21 |
| 10 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Tormenta | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Forward Madison | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 29:39 | -10 | 16 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
