One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.86
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
70% (216/308)75% (334/445)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.680.09
Total shots
109
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
2232
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
70% (216/308)75% (334/445)
Long passes
31% (22/71)36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
66% (69/105)55% (77/139)
Crosses
23% (3/13)36% (12/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.911.76
Throw-ins
1128
Fouls
1215
Tackles
45% (5/11)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5266
Clearances
4918
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.091.68
Goals prevented
0.09-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Rosamilia N. , Zarokostas S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 2 - 0, Tekiela K. ,
  • 58', Lewis A. , Pelaez A. ,
  • 58', Opara L. , Gil J. ,
  • 63', Johnson C. , Kelly-Rosales A. ,
  • 66', Caputo A. 🟨,
  • 72', Vinyals N. , Hernandez M. ,
  • 72', Meredith B. , Denton J. ,
  • 72', Diene B. 🟨,
  • 76', Rosamilia N. , Doyle M. ,
  • 76', Tekiela K. , Goling M. ,
  • 86', Diene B. , Meek L. ,
  • 86', Caputo A. , Bull ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


One Knoxville
41.7%
Draw
32.9%
Spokane Velocity
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 32.3% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 30.2% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.25)
    2.79
    (2.88)
    3.63
    (3.52)
    8.8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One Knoxville has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Spokane is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • One Knoxville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, One Knoxville has had a series of home games.
    • One Knoxville could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity were as follows:
    30.08.2025 One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity 1:0
    26.10.2024 Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville 0:0
    23.08.2024 One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity 1:1
    Latest results of One Knoxville
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)