Madison Keys vs Ons Jabeur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/04/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
brazilBrazilESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport X
franceFrancebeIN Sports
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceNova Sports
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
64%63%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (32/52)74% (29/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (17/29)43% (10/23)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
26% (10/39)38% (20/52)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (13/23)41% (12/29)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)57% (4/7)
Max Points In Row
97
Service Points Won
61% (50/82)62% (39/63)
Return Points Won
38% (24/63)39% (32/82)
Total Points Won
51% (74/145)49% (71/145)
Max Games In Row
78
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)67% (8/12)
Return Games Won
33% (4/12)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)

Chances of winning


Madison Keys
44.3%
Ons Jabeur
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Ons Jabeur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ons Jabeur than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Madison Keys - Ons Jabeur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.13)

    1.73
    (1.6)
    4.1%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Madison Keys - Ons Jabeur?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). Jabeur will win (votes: 32 - 71.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jabeur: 57.9%84.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Keys is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Jabeur is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Keys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Jabeur to win the game is with odds 1.72.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Keys won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.
    Latest results of Madison Keys
    Latest results of Ons Jabeur
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Blinkova A. (Alt)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.2 : 0
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    19Blinkova A.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.2 : 0
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)0 : 2
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)2 : 0
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)2 : 0
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (RET.) (4)Li A. (31)1 : 1
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)2 : 1
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    10Siniakova K.McNally C.1 : 2
    11Noskova L. (WO.) (13)Samsonova L. (20)
    12Cirstea S. (25)Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    13Sierra S.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.1 : 2
    15Potapova A.Ostapenko J. (21)2 : 1
    16Zheng Q. (32)Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (14)
    2Bencic B. (11)Baptiste H. (30)
    3Li A. (31)Fernandez L. (24)
    4Andreeva M. (9)Bondar A.
    5Kostyuk M. (26)McNally C.
    6Noskova L. (13)Gauff C. (3)
    7Sierra S.Pliskova Ka.
    8Potapova A.Rybakina E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2