Botafogo SP vs Operário Ferroviario – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto).

Serie B Superbet - Round 27
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	0.83
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
7	16
Shots on target
1	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	7
Passes
77% (245/317)	84% (345/413)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.85	0.80
Total shots
7	16
Shots on target
1	5
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
1	6
Shots inside the Box
3	6
Shots outside the Box
3	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	7
Touches in opposition box
8	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
15	13
Passes
77% (245/317)	84% (345/413)
Long passes
57% (29/51)	41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
61% (50/82)	69% (68/99)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	0.64
Throw-ins
18	19
Fouls
13	15
Tackles
69% (11/16)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
51	50
Clearances
27	15
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	0
xGOT faced
0.80	0.85
Goals prevented
-0.20	0.85

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Carlao 🟨,
19', Matheus Barbosa 🟨,
30', Daniel Amorim 🟨,
30', Risso G. 🟨,
41', Zuluaga J. 🟨,
43', Wesley Dias 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Daniel Amorim ⚽, Neto Paraiba (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Daniel Amorim ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
46', Zuluaga J. ↓, Thiago Medeiros ↑,
46', Wesley Dias ↓, Jhony Douglas ↑,
46', Carrillo R. ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
69', Pedro Vilhena ↓, Kaua Gomes ↑,
73', Gabriel Barros ↓, Robinho ↑,
73', Wallison ↓, Jeferson ↑,
76', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Kleiton ↑,
82', Neto Paraiba ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
82', Matheus Barbosa ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Jefferson Nem ⚽, Jhony Douglas (A),
88', Thiaguinho 🟨,

Chances of winning

Botafogo SP
34.2%

Draw
33.7%

Operário Ferroviario
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

31.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.55)	2.76 ↓ (3)	2.93 ↑ (2.75)	6.7% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.
Botafogo SP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Operário PR is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano (Inactive) Carlao (Yellow Cards) Ericson (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Maciel L. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Operário PR: Andre (Red Card) Boschilia (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive)
There are questionable in Operário PR: Filipe Claudino (Injury) Gabriel Feliciano (Injury) Marcos Paulo (Muscle Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Operário Ferroviario?

Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Botafogo SP?

Operário Ferroviario has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:

17.05.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP 3:0

12.10.2024 Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario 0:0

22.06.2024 Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP 0:1

Latest results of Botafogo SP

14.09.2025 Athletic Club - Botafogo SP 2:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense 1:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Goiás - Botafogo SP 2:3 ✺

25.08.2025 Botafogo SP - Vila Nova 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Remo - Botafogo SP 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Operário Ferroviario

14.09.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá 1:1 ✺

07.09.2025 América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario 1:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario 1:2 ✺

19.08.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Avaí 0:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Criciuma	28	14	7	7	36:21	15	49
2	Goias	28	14	7	7	34:26	8	49
3	Coritiba	28	13	8	7	28:19	9	47
4	Novorizontino	28	12	10	6	31:25	6	46
5	Athletico-PR	28	13	6	9	42:36	6	45
6	Cuiaba	28	11	9	8	34:32	2	42
7	Chapecoense-SC	28	12	5	11	38:29	9	41
8	Atletico GO	28	10	11	7	31:28	3	41
9	CRB	28	12	4	12	31:26	5	40
10	Avai	28	10	10	8	36:30	6	40
11	Operario-PR	28	10	9	9	31:27	4	39
12	Remo	28	9	12	7	29:26	3	39
13	Vila Nova FC	28	10	7	11	28:30	-2	37
14	Ferroviaria	28	7	12	9	31:35	-4	33
15	Athletic Club	28	9	5	14	29:38	-9	32
16	America MG	28	8	6	14	27:34	-7	30
17	Volta Redonda	28	7	9	12	18:29	-11	30
18	Botafogo SP	28	7	8	13	24:42	-18	29
19	Amazonas	28	6	9	13	28:41	-13	27
20	Paysandu PA	28	4	10	14	21:33	-12	22

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )