Operário Ltda vs Nova Mutum – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
11/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Matogrossense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Denis Macedo ,
  • 8', 2 - 0, Nenem ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Rogue J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 3 - 1, Nenem ,
  • 56', 3 - 2, Jackie Chan ,

Chances of winning


Operário Ltda
46.1%
Draw
29.1%
Nova Mutum
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 27.3% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 26.9% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Operário Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Operário Ltda's form might have worsened.
  • Nova Mutum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nova Mutum's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ltda than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ltda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nova Mutum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.7)
    3.12
    (3.33)
    3.66
    (4.75)
    10.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário Ltda won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Operário Ltda is the team to beat.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Operário Ltda won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Operário Ltda won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum were as follows:
    25.01.2026 Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum 3:1
    04.02.2025 Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum 2:1
    02.11.2024 Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum 1:0
    15.02.2024 Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum 1:2
    01.02.2023 Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum 1:1
    Latest results of Operário Ltda
    Latest results of Nova Mutum
    08.02.2026 Nova Mutum - Mixto 2:1
    31.01.2026 Cuiabá - Nova Mutum 2:1
    28.01.2026 Nova Mutum - Chapada 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Luverdense (1)Bye
    2Sport Sinop (4)Cuiaba (5)1 : 0
    3Mixto (2)Bye
    4Operario VG (3)Nova Mutum (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Luverdense (1)Sport Sinop (4)2 : 2, 1 : 0
    2Mixto (2)Operario VG (3)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Luverdense (1)Mixto (2)