Itabirito vs Operário MS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Itabirito - Operário MS
Result
1:1
06/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
103
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
88
Corner Kicks
103
Goalkeeper Saves
67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Matheus Bidick ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Patric ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Itabirito
54.3%
Draw
26.4%
Operário MS
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 22.4% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 21.7% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabirito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itabirito's form might have worsened.
  • Operário MS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabirito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário MS than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Itabirito - Operário MS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.44)
    3.49
    (4)
    4.74
    (5.8)
    8.9%
    (11.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Itabirito could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabirito won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Itabirito - Operário MS were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Operário MS - Itabirito 1:1
    Latest results of Itabirito
    Latest results of Operário MS
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manauara ✔ 1375126:91726
    2Tuna Luso ✔ 1373322:101224
    3Manaus1355320:17320
    4Aguia De Maraba1354421:13819
    5Trem1353523:23018
    6Independencia1353516:18-218
    7GAS1342716:23-714
    8Humaita13111112:43-314


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AE Altos ✔ 1475222:14826
    2Imperatriz ✔ 1473417:15224
    3Sampaio Correa ✔ 1456317:11621
    4Maranhao1447318:12619
    5Iguatu1453615:15018
    6Tocantinopolis1436511:17-615
    7Parnahyba1435616:22-614
    8Maracana1433812:22-1012


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central SC ✔ 1374215:7825
    2America RN ✔ 1373319:91024
    3Santa Cruz ✔ 1373317:10724
    4Horizonte1352614:15-117
    5Ferroviario1352615:19-417
    6Santa Cruz de Natal1342711:19-814
    7Treze PB134187:17-1013
    8Sousa1333710:12-212


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA ✔ 1384124:81628
    2Lagarto ✔ 1372420:15523
    3Juazeirense ✔ 1364312:12022
    4Sergipe1354415:10519
    5Jequie1344515:15016
    6Uniao Carmolandense1344513:16-316
    7Barcelona132569:19-1011
    8SC Penedense130584:17-135


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aparecidense ✔ 14102232:122032
    2Ceilandia ✔ 1484223:14928
    3Luverdense ✔ 1474314:12225
    4Mixto ✔ 1356219:13621
    5Capital1445514:12217
    6Goiania1424812:22-1010
    7Goianesia1415811:22-118
    8Porto Velho131489:27-187


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa ✔ 1493222:13930
    2Rio Branco ES ✔ 1482419:91026
    3Agua Santa1463520:18221
    4Marica1454514:14019
    5Pouso Alegre1452713:18-517
    6Porto Vitoria1445514:13117
    7Nova Iguacu1436513:16-315
    8Boavista142399:23-149


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Limeira ✔ 1493221:71430
    2Cianorte ✔ 1464422:17522
    3Goiatuba ✔ 1464421:16522
    4Cascavel1456315:15021
    5Uberlandia1444621:20116
    6Monte Azul1435613:18-514
    7Operario MS1435613:22-914
    8Itabirito1417611:22-1110


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barra FC ✔ 1382320:91126
    2EC Sao Jose ✔ 1374220:101025
    3Joinville ✔ 1363410:9121
    4Marcilio Dias ✔ 1355316:14220
    5Guarany de Bage134459:13-416
    6Brasil de Pelotas1341810:12-213
    7Sao Luiz1340910:20-1012
    8Azuriz133376:14-812

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Manauara is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Tuna Luso is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    AE Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Imperatriz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Sampaio Correa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    America RN is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Lagarto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Juazeirense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Luverdense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Mixto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Portuguesa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Rio Branco ES is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Cianorte is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Goiatuba is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    EC Sao Jose is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Joinville is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Marcilio Dias is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)