Patrocinense vs Operário MS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Patrocinense - Operário MS
Result
3:0
09/07/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 12

Chances of winning


Patrocinense
67.3%
Draw
21.7%
Operário MS
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 26.5% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 25.6% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Patrocinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patrocinense's performance.
  • Operário MS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patrocinense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário MS than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Patrocinense - Operário MS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.55)
    4.17
    (3.45)
    8.22
    (6.46)
    10.7%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).
    • Recent matches Patrocinense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Operário MS has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Patrocinense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Patrocinense is certain favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Patrocinense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Patrocinense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Patrocinense - Operário MS were as follows:
    21.05.2023 Operário MS - Patrocinense 1:1
    Latest results of Patrocinense
    02.07.2023 FC Cascavel - Patrocinense 1:1
    24.06.2023 Maringá - Patrocinense 1:0
    14.06.2023 Piracicaba - Patrocinense 1:1
    10.06.2023 Patrocinense - Piracicaba 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1