Result
0:1
26/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 22
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (464/526) | 75% (204/271) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (464/526) | 75% (204/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 75% (64/85) | 42% (27/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (125/160) | 64% (49/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/39) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 2.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Ushina K. 🟨,
- 57', Mena A. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
- 57', Bianchi O. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 58', Valverde J. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 61', Velasco P. 🟨,
- 62', Julio M. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Herrera A. ⚽, Bermudez M. (A),
- 73', Coba K. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
- 74', Ibarra R. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
- 77', Burgoa V. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 80', Ushina K. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 82', Monti R. 🟨,
- 83', Olinick A. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vinotinto
35.9% | Draw
31.4% | Orense
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Vinotinto - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.61) |
2.96 ↑
(2.95) |
2.84
(2.84) |
8%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vinotinto - Orense?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- Vinotinto is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Orense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Orense?
Vinotinto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Vinotinto?
Orense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Orense were as follows:
05.04.2025
Orense
-
Vinotinto
0:0
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 43 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Aucas | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 7 | U. Catolica | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 34 |
| 8 | Libertad | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Emelec | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
