Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Oriental de La Paz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Segunda Division Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Milan F. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Alexandrino R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Atletico Fenix Montevideo
42.9%
Draw
30.5%
Oriental de La Paz
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 31.2% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 30.9% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Fenix Montevideo's performance.
  • Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oriental de La Paz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Fenix Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oriental de La Paz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.65)
    3.02
    (2.89)
    3.45
    (2.59)
    8.8%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 9).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Oriental may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fenix is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo 2:0
    29.03.2025 Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1:0
    Uruguayan Segunda Division Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Albion23144529:141546
    2Colon23118429:151441
    3Central Esp22109326:141239
    4Maldonado23106729:181136
    5Rentistas23106730:24636
    6Fenix2397725:24134
    7Atenas2295824:21332
    8Oriental2387826:25131
    9Tacuarembo2279621:20130
    10Rampla Juniors22751021:23-226
    11La Luz2359924:34-1024
    12Cerrito22481016:30-1420
    13Artigas233101025:34-919
    14Uruguay Montevideo22331612:41-2912