Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Oriental de La Paz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
02/05/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Torneo Competencia - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
82
Shots on target
40
Corner kicks
66
Red cards
01
Total shots
82
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 86', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Atletico Fenix Montevideo
43.3%
Draw
29%
Oriental de La Paz
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 29.4% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 30.1% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Fenix Montevideo's performance.
  • Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oriental de La Paz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Fenix Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oriental de La Paz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.53)
    3.15
    (3.05)
    3.29
    (2.56)
    9.4%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Oriental may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fenix might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fenix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz 2:1
    07.06.2025 Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo 2:0
    29.03.2025 Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1:0
    Latest results of Oriental de La Paz
    Draw
    Torneo Competencia - Play Offs

    Final
    1FenixOriental1 : 0