Result
2:3
12/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda Division - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 4', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. (Pen),
- 21', 0 - 2, Hernandez A. ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 3, Brun N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 3, ⚽,
- 85', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cerrito
26.8% | Draw
29.3% | Oriental de La Paz
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerrito's form might have worsened.Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oriental de La Paz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerrito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriental de La Paz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerrito - Oriental de La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↑
(2.66) |
3.27 ↑
(3.18) |
2.17 ↓
(2.4) |
4.6%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 9).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Oriental may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerrito won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerrito won against Oriental de La Paz?
Cerrito has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oriental de La Paz won against Cerrito?
Oriental de La Paz has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerrito - Oriental de La Paz were as follows:
20.07.2025
Oriental de La Paz
-
Cerrito
1:1
03.11.2024
Cerrito
-
Oriental de La Paz
3:1
13.07.2024
Oriental de La Paz
-
Cerrito
2:1
29.11.2023
Cerrito
-
Oriental de La Paz
2:1
23.07.2023
Oriental de La Paz
-
Cerrito
2:0
Latest results of Cerrito
Latest results of Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Albion ✔ | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 33:17 | 16 | 50 |
| 2 | Colon | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Central Esp | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Atenas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 35:23 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Maldonado | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 31:21 | 10 | 40 |
| 6 | Oriental | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Tacuarembo | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Fenix | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 37 |
| 9 | Rentistas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | La Luz | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 26:36 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Rampla Juniors | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Cerrito | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 20:36 | -16 | 23 |
| 13 | Artigas | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 22 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16:44 | -28 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albion is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura )
