Oriental de La Paz vs Cerrito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Segunda Division Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito
Result
1:1
20/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 82', 1 - 0, Monzeglio M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Millacet F. ,

Chances of winning


Oriental de La Paz
44.8%
Draw
27.5%
Cerrito
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 27.1% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 26.4% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriental de La Paz's form might have worsened.
  • Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerrito's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental de La Paz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerrito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.8)
    3.34
    (3.35)
    3.31
    (4.05)
    9.1%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oriental will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Oriental may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Oriental might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oriental won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Cerrito - Oriental de La Paz 3:1
    13.07.2024 Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito 2:1
    29.11.2023 Cerrito - Oriental de La Paz 2:1
    23.07.2023 Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito 2:0
    Latest results of Cerrito
    Uruguayan Segunda Division Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Albion1291217:61128
    2Tacuarembo1263312:8421
    3Rentistas1255217:12520
    4Fenix1255216:11520
    5Oriental1254314:13119
    6Colon1253414:9518
    7Central Esp1246213:8518
    8Maldonado1246212:7518
    9Atenas1244412:11116
    10Artigas121748:12-410
    11La Luz1216512:21-99
    12Cerrito122378:19-119
    13Uruguay Montevideo122379:22-139
    14Rampla Juniors1222811:16-58