La Luz vs Oriental de La Paz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 0, ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, ,
  • 76', 🟥,
  • 76', 🟥,

Chances of winning


La Luz
40%
Draw
29.8%
Oriental de La Paz
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 27.7% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 26.8% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • La Luz - Oriental de La Paz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.18)
    3.09
    (3.35)
    3.04
    (3.13)
    8.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8).
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, La Luz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between La Luz - Oriental de La Paz were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Oriental de La Paz - La Luz 2:2
    05.04.2025 La Luz - Oriental de La Paz 1:2
    21.09.2024 La Luz - Oriental de La Paz 1:1
    05.06.2024 Oriental de La Paz - La Luz 1:0
    07.04.2024 Oriental de La Paz - La Luz 0:1
    Latest results of La Luz
    Latest results of Oriental de La Paz
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AtenasTacuarembo2 : 2, 1 : 1
    2ColonMaldonado0 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1AtenasMaldonado0 : 1, 0 : 0