Oriental vs Alcochetense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
33
Total shots
76
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
30
Corner Kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 0 - 2, ,
  • 72', 0 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Oriental
36.9%
Draw
28.4%
Alcochetense
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 28.4% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 28.9% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Alcochetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Oriental - Alcochetense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.32)
    3.17
    (3.2)
    2.6
    (2.81)
    10.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).
    • Oriental has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Alcochetense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oriental won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oriental - Alcochetense were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Oriental - Alcochetense 2:1
    Latest results of Oriental
    07.12.2025 Lagoa - Oriental 6:3
    29.11.2025 Alverca B - Oriental 3:1
    09.11.2025 Oriental - Elvas 2:1
    26.10.2025 Oriental - Louletano 0:0
    Latest results of Alcochetense
    07.12.2025 Alcochetense - Alverca B 1:2
    29.11.2025 Elvas - Alcochetense 2:2
    02.11.2025 Louletano - Alcochetense 0:2
    26.10.2025 Alcochetense - Sintrense 1:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Malveira20107329:181137
    2Louletano2098322:91335
    3Juv. Evora2097424:18634
    4Serpa2087523:23031
    5GD Alcochetense2086626:18830
    6Lagoa2085734:29529
    7Alverca B1985633:28529
    8Sintrense2077621:21028
    9O Elvas CAD2084829:23628
    10Oriental2068623:27-426
    11Moncarapachense2049715:19-421
    12Portimonense B19531116:27-1118
    13Vasco da Gama20110916:36-2013
    14Industria20261218:33-1512

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