Alcochetense vs Oriental – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 25

Match Stats

Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
510
Corner kicks
49
Total shots
613
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
13
Corner kicks
49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Joca ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 71', 1 - 1, Mucuana Lobo E. J. ,

Chances of winning


Alcochetense
50.9%
Draw
28.1%
Oriental
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 27.1% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 26% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcochetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Alcochetense - Oriental Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.79)
    3.22
    (3.35)
    4.31
    (4.13)
    10.4%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Alcochetense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Oriental is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Alcochetense is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcochetense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcochetense - Oriental were as follows:
    14.12.2025 Oriental - Alcochetense 0:3
    31.08.2025 Oriental - Alcochetense 2:1
    Latest results of Alcochetense
    04.04.2026 Alverca B - Alcochetense 0:1
    28.03.2026 Alcochetense - Louletano 0:1
    22.03.2026 Alcochetense - Elvas 2:0
    01.03.2026 Sintrense - Alcochetense 1:1
    Latest results of Oriental
    04.04.2026 Oriental - Lagoa 0:2
    22.03.2026 Oriental - Alverca B 1:2
    15.03.2026 Elvas - Oriental 0:0
    01.03.2026 Louletano - Oriental 2:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louletano ✔ 25148335:132250
    2Malveira25128536:221444
    3Alverca B25135744:321244
    4Juv. Evora251110432:221043
    5Lagoa25116843:321139
    6GD Alcochetense25108731:211038
    7Sintrense25107828:24437
    8Serpa2597927:32-534
    9O Elvas CAD25961033:29433
    10Moncarapachense2579921:21030
    11Oriental ✔ 25611827:34-729
    12Portimonense B ✔ 25641518:40-2222
    13Industria ✔ 25281520:40-2014
    14Vasco da Gama ✔ 251111319:52-3314

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louletano is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Oriental is Relegated to
    Portimonense B is Relegated to
    Industria is Relegated to
    Vasco da Gama is Relegated to