Result
3:0
04/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (270/335) | 71% (179/253) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (270/335) | 71% (179/253) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (25/44) | 30% (17/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (56/83) | 67% (58/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Chala W. 🟨,
- 35', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Blanco O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Alvarez G. ↓, Cristaldo J. E. ↑,
- 46', Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↓, Vaca H. ↑,
- 48', Sanchez H. 🟨,
- 51', Sanchez H. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 0, Vaca H. ⚽,
- 56', Vaca H. 🟨,
- 64', Alvarez S. 🟨,
- 69', Santacruz Rodas J. F. ↓, Amaral R. ↑,
- 69', Chala W. ↓, Berdecio J. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Amaral R. ⚽, Melean A. (A),
- 78', Centurion R. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
- 78', Blanco O. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
- 78', Ballivian R. ↓, Torrico J. ↑,
- 84', Vaca O. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 0, Cristaldo J. E. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Oriente Petrolero
45.5% | Draw
25.1% | Aurora
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Oriente Petrolero - Aurora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.96) |
3.69 ↓
(3.9) |
3.11 ↓
(3.25) |
8.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero - Aurora?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Aurora will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oriente Petrolero: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aurora (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Aurora (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 2.
- Oriente Petrolero has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aurora has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Aurora has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oriente Petrolero won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:3. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Oriente Petrolero won against Aurora?
Oriente Petrolero has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Oriente Petrolero?
Aurora has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oriente Petrolero - Aurora were as follows:
30.03.2025
Aurora
-
Oriente Petrolero
5:1
24.09.2024
Oriente Petrolero
-
Aurora
5:0
12.05.2024
Aurora
-
Oriente Petrolero
3:1
12.11.2023
Oriente Petrolero
-
Aurora
1:0
14.05.2023
Aurora
-
Oriente Petrolero
2:2
Latest results of Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 59:37 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 52:23 | 29 | 43 |
| 4 | Blooming | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45:41 | 4 | 34 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Independiente | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:43 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
