Result
2:1
08/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (350/396) | 74% (175/235) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (350/396) | 74% (175/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (40/55) | 49% (31/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (108/137) | 55% (34/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Jara A. 🟨,
- 38', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Centurion R. ⚽, Vaca H. (A),
- 45+2', Centurion R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rojas J. ↓, Anagua Suruby R. S. ↑,
- 46', Vaca H. ↓, Bejarano Di. ↑,
- 46', Rojas D. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
- 46', Jara A. ↓, Jose Pinto ↑,
- 55', Centurion R. ↓, Amaral R. ↑,
- 58', Chala W. 🟥,
- 60', 1 - 1, Gimenez D. (Pen),
- 63', Jose Pinto 🟨,
- 66', Alvarez G. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
- 71', Gimenez D. ↓, Cabezas B. ↑,
- 75', Bejarano Di. 🟨,
- 82', Camacho Almanza D. A. 🟨,
- 85', Camacho Almanza D. A. ↓, Cano E. ↑,
- 90+1', Santacruz Rodas J. F. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Alvarez S. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Universitario de Vinto
50.7% | Draw
25.8% | Oriente Petrolero
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Vinto's form might have worsened.Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-3%)
Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.66) |
3.6 ↓
(4.1) |
3.96 ↓
(4.4) |
8.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Vinto: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Uni de Vinto (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Uni de Vinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Uni de Vinto is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Oriente Petrolero?
Universitario de Vinto has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oriente Petrolero won against Universitario de Vinto?
Oriente Petrolero has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero were as follows:
02.07.2025
Oriente Petrolero
-
Universitario de Vinto
3:2
21.05.2025
Universitario de Vinto
-
Oriente Petrolero
1:1
03.04.2025
Oriente Petrolero
-
Universitario de Vinto
0:0
20.11.2024
Universitario de Vinto
-
Oriente Petrolero
4:1
18.05.2024
Oriente Petrolero
-
Universitario de Vinto
2:1
Latest results of Universitario de Vinto
Latest results of Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | The Strongest | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 51:30 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 40 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 43:21 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | Blooming | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 36:28 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Guabira | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 20 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:32 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:31 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14:40 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 | Aurora | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
