Surnadal IL vs Orkla FK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4 Surnadal IL - Orkla FK
Result
5:1
21/09/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 22

Chances of winning


Surnadal IL
45.5%
Draw
23.6%
Orkla FK
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 24.6% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 24.9% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Surnadal IL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Surnadal IL's performance.
  • Orkla FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orkla FK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surnadal IL than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Surnadal IL that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orkla FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Surnadal IL - Orkla FK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.43)
    3.86
    (3.7)
    2.94
    (2.4)
    10.1%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Surnadal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Orkla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Surnadal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Surnadal IL - Orkla FK were as follows:
    20.05.2024 Orkla FK - Surnadal IL 1:3
    Latest results of Surnadal IL
    07.09.2024 Stabæk 2 - Surnadal IL 0:0
    01.09.2024 Surnadal IL - Rana 0:2
    25.08.2024 Mosjøen - Surnadal IL 3:4
    17.08.2024 Surnadal IL - Trygg Lade 2:5
    Latest results of Orkla FK
    15.09.2024 Orkla FK - Mosjøen 3:4
    08.09.2024 Lillestrøm 2 - Orkla FK 2:0
    31.08.2024 Orkla FK - Nardo 0:0
    25.08.2024 Stabæk 2 - Orkla FK 1:3
    17.08.2024 Orkla FK - Verdal 3:0
    Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bjarg17161062:115149
    2OS TF17110668:284033
    3Fana17103451:282333
    4Forde1795339:211832
    5Gneist1777342:301228
    6Lyn 21773737:37024
    7Fyllingsdalen1780931:40-924
    8Sandefjord 21672737:50-1323
    9Askoy1764728:32-422
    10Fjora17521029:52-2317
    11Valerenga 217511139:44-516
    12Lyngbo1643922:31-915
    13Loddefjord17321225:60-3511
    14Asane 217311323:69-4610

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