Surnadal IL vs Orkla FK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4 Surnadal IL - Orkla FK
Result
5:1
21/09/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 22

Chances of winning


Surnadal IL
45.5%
Draw
23.6%
Orkla FK
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 24.6% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 24.9% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Surnadal IL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Surnadal IL's performance.
  • Orkla FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orkla FK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surnadal IL than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Surnadal IL that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orkla FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Surnadal IL - Orkla FK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.43)
    3.86
    (3.7)
    2.94
    (2.4)
    10.1%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Surnadal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Orkla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Surnadal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Surnadal IL - Orkla FK were as follows:
    20.05.2024 Orkla FK - Surnadal IL 1:3
    Latest results of Surnadal IL
    07.09.2024 Stabæk 2 - Surnadal IL 0:0
    01.09.2024 Surnadal IL - Rana 0:2
    25.08.2024 Mosjøen - Surnadal IL 3:4
    17.08.2024 Surnadal IL - Trygg Lade 2:5
    Latest results of Orkla FK
    15.09.2024 Orkla FK - Mosjøen 3:4
    08.09.2024 Lillestrøm 2 - Orkla FK 2:0
    31.08.2024 Orkla FK - Nardo 0:0
    25.08.2024 Stabæk 2 - Orkla FK 1:3
    17.08.2024 Orkla FK - Verdal 3:0
    Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bjarg14131051:104140
    2Forde1485136:171929
    3OS TF1490555:253027
    4Fana1483342:212127
    5Lyn 21373333:221124
    6Gneist1456332:26621
    7Askoy1454524:28-419
    8Fjora1452727:41-1417
    9Sandefjord 21351730:45-1516
    10Fyllingsdalen1450924:39-1515
    11Valerenga 21441933:37-413
    12Lyngbo1433820:29-912
    13Loddefjord14221018:47-298
    14Asane 214211120:58-387

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