Result
1:0 ET
06/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carling Knockout - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now |
 South-africa | SABC 1, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (465/538) | 79% (377/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (465/538) | 79% (377/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (45/73) | 40% (31/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (126/162) | 56% (54/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Makhaula M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Makhaula M. ↓, Moremi T. ↑,
- 46', Mabuza B. ↓, Msendami D. ↑,
- 59', Ndaba N. ↓, Hotto D. ↑,
- 62', Nemtajela M. 🟨,
- 64', Makgopa E. ↓, Mbuthuma Y. ↑,
- 77', Sithole K. 🟨,
- 82', Sithole K. ↓, Mpambaniso M. ↑,
- 83', Mbatha T. ↓, Mbule S. ↑,
- 90+2', Lebitso T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Arubi W. 🟨,
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 100', Appollis O. ↓, Dansin C. ↑,
- 105', 1 - 0, Mofokeng R. ⚽,
- 105', Ndlondlo N. ↓, Clifford J. ↑,
- 105', Mofokeng R. ↓, Sibisi N. ↑,
- 105', Otladisa K. ↓, Motloung T. ↑,
- 110', Bance I. 🟨,
- 112', Bance I. ↓, Mhlongo K. ↑,
- 114', Clifford J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orlando Pirates
60.6% | Draw
25.1% | Marumo Gallants
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Orlando Pirates - Marumo Gallants Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.65) |
3.66 ↑
(3.32) |
6.39 ↑
(5.11) |
9.1%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Peter Mokaba Stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 3.
- Orlando Pirates is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marumo Gallants has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Orlando Pirates has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Orlando Pirates is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Orlando Pirates will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pirates won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pirates won against Marumo Gallants?
Orlando Pirates has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marumo Gallants won against Orlando Pirates?
Marumo Gallants has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando Pirates - Marumo Gallants were as follows:
12.08.2025
Marumo Gallants
-
Orlando Pirates
2:1
13.04.2025
Orlando Pirates
-
Marumo Gallants
1:0
01.03.2025
Marumo Gallants
-
Orlando Pirates
2:0
24.12.2024
Orlando Pirates
-
Marumo Gallants
8:1
28.01.2023
Marumo Gallants
-
Orlando Pirates
0:2
Latest results of Orlando Pirates
Latest results of Marumo Gallants
Draw
20251/8-finals| 1 | Golden Arrows | Sekhukhune | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Orbit College | TS Galaxy | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Marumo Gallants | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stellenbosch | Kaizer Chiefs | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Richards Bay | Chippa Utd. | 4 : 1 |
| 6 | Durban City | Polokwane | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Orlando Pirates | Siwelele | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | AmaZulu | Magesi | 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Golden Arrows | TS Galaxy | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Marumo Gallants | Stellenbosch | 4 : 0 |
| 3 | Richards Bay | Durban City | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Orlando Pirates | Magesi | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Golden Arrows | Marumo Gallants | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Richards Bay | Orlando Pirates | 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Marumo Gallants | Orlando Pirates | 0 : 1 |
