Result
2:2
10/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Betway Premiership - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 24% | 76% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (116/182) | 84% (450/534) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 17 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 17 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 52 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (116/182) | 84% (450/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (20/58) | 63% (38/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 72% (154/215) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 34% (14/41) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 2.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 100% (12/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 56 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -1.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Gumede T. ⚽, Mcineka S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 1, Appollis O. ⚽, Mofokeng R. (A),
- 56', Mbuthuma Y. ↓, Makgopa E. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Zikhali L. ⚽, Mahala L. (A),
- 66', Mahala L. ↓, Bomelo N. ↑,
- 66', Barns S. ↓, Ngema W. ↑,
- 68', Appollis O. ↓, De Jong A. ↑,
- 71', Ngema W. 🟨,
- 71', Gumede T. ↓, Mthethwa T. ↑,
- 77', Moremi T. ↓, Maswanganyi P. ↑,
- 84', Otieno I. 🟨,
- 86', Mthembu M. ↓, Khumalo L. ↑,
- 87', Bomelo N. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Seema L. ⚽, Hotto D. (A),
Chances of winning
Richards Bay 10.5% | Draw 23.1% | Orlando Pirates 66.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Richards Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando Pirates's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richards Bay than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.81 ↑ (7.99) |
3.98 ↑ (3.35) |
1.39 ↓ (1.51) |
8.5% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando Pirates (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Orlando Pirates will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richards Bay won 0.
- In recent matches, Richards Bay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Orlando Pirates is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Orlando Pirates is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Richards Bay won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Richards Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Richards Bay won against Orlando Pirates?
Richards Bay has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pirates won against Richards Bay?
Orlando Pirates has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates were as follows:
11.03.2026
Orlando Pirates
-
Richards Bay
2:0
08.11.2025
Richards Bay
-
Orlando Pirates
0:1
26.01.2025
Richards Bay
-
Orlando Pirates
1:3
05.11.2024
Orlando Pirates
-
Richards Bay
1:0
29.09.2024
Richards Bay
-
Orlando Pirates
0:1
Latest results of Richards Bay
Latest results of Orlando Pirates
South African Premier Soccer League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 42:12 | 30 | 56 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 47:11 | 36 | 55 |
| 3 | Kaizer Chiefs | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:13 | 11 | 42 |
| 4 | AmaZulu | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 39 |
| 5 | Sekhukhune | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 24:17 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | Durban City | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 20:17 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Polokwane | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 19:16 | 3 | 33 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:31 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Stellenbosch | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 10 | Siwelele | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 13:17 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Richards Bay | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 27 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 13 | Chippa Utd | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 24 |
| 14 | Marumo Gallants | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 18 |
| 15 | Orbit College | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
| 16 | Magesi | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship