Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Betway Premiership - Round 24

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.262.03
Ball possession
24%76%
Total shots
629
Shots on target
38
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
117
Passes
64% (116/182)84% (450/534)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
0.262.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.361.64
Total shots
629
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
311
Blocked shots
010
Shots inside the box
217
Shots outside the box
412
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
117
Touches in opposition box
752
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
914
Passes
64% (116/182)84% (450/534)
Long passes
34% (20/58)63% (38/60)
Passes in final third
51% (25/49)72% (154/215)
Crosses
50% (1/2)34% (14/41)
Expected assists (xA)
0.122.40
Throw ins
1525
Fouls
149
Tackles
68% (15/22)100% (12/12)
Duels won
5848
Clearances
567
Interceptions
238
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
61
xGOT faced
1.640.36
Goals prevented
-0.36-1.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Gumede T. , Mcineka S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Appollis O. , Mofokeng R. (A),
  • 56', Mbuthuma Y. , Makgopa E. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Zikhali L. , Mahala L. (A),
  • 66', Mahala L. , Bomelo N. ,
  • 66', Barns S. , Ngema W. ,
  • 68', Appollis O. , De Jong A. ,
  • 71', Ngema W. 🟨,
  • 71', Gumede T. , Mthethwa T. ,
  • 77', Moremi T. , Maswanganyi P. ,
  • 84', Otieno I. 🟨,
  • 86', Mthembu M. , Khumalo L. ,
  • 87', Bomelo N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Seema L. , Hotto D. (A),

Chances of winning


Richards Bay
10.5%
Draw
23.1%
Orlando Pirates
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.5% 27.5% 61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2% 26.8% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Richards Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando Pirates's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richards Bay than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.81
    (7.99)
    3.98
    (3.35)
    1.39
    (1.51)
    8.5%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando Pirates (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Orlando Pirates will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richards Bay won 0.
    • In recent matches, Richards Bay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Orlando Pirates is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Orlando Pirates is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Richards Bay won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Richards Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates were as follows:
    11.03.2026 Orlando Pirates - Richards Bay 2:0
    08.11.2025 Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates 0:1
    26.01.2025 Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates 1:3
    05.11.2024 Orlando Pirates - Richards Bay 1:0
    29.09.2024 Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates 0:1
    Latest results of Richards Bay
    Latest results of Orlando Pirates
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mamelodi Sundowns23175142:123056
    2Orlando Pirates24174347:113655
    3Kaizer Chiefs22126424:131142
    4AmaZulu24116725:22339
    5Sekhukhune24108624:17738
    6Durban City24105920:17335
    7Polokwane2389619:16333
    8Golden Arrows24941129:31-231
    9Stellenbosch2377920:25-528
    10Siwelele2369813:17-427
    11Richards Bay2469920:27-727
    12TS Galaxy24741325:33-825
    13Chippa Utd25591120:33-1324
    14Marumo Gallants23461317:34-1718
    15Orbit College23531517:39-2218
    16Magesi23381216:31-1517

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
          Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
          Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship