Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg).

Betway Premiership - Round 15

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.32	0.27
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
6	1
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
4	3
Passes
82% (360/439)	74% (245/331)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.32	0.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.06	0.03
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
9	5
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
8	3
Shots outside the box
10	6
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
29	12
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	0
Free kicks
14	14
Passes
82% (360/439)	74% (245/331)
Long passes
36% (15/42)	55% (41/75)
Passes in final third
74% (116/156)	62% (61/99)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.08	0.28
Throw ins
20	16
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
75% (15/20)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
55	52
Clearances
23	22
Interceptions
10	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.03	2.06
Goals prevented
0.03	0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Appollis O. ⚽, Sebelebele K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Maswanganyi P. ↓, Moremi T. ↑,
61', Mbuthuma Y. ↓, Makgopa E. ↑,
65', Makhaula M. 🟨,
68', Mthembu M. 🟨,
72', Mthethwa T. ↓, Nashixwa B. T. ↑,
75', Mahala L. ↓, Mutizwa K. ↑,
76', Mthembu M. ↓, Khumalo L. ↑,
84', Barns S. ↓, Ngema W. ↑,
90+1', Hotto D. ↓, Ndaba N. ↑,
90+1', Appollis O. ↓, Chabatsane M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Makgopa E. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning

Orlando Pirates
71.9%

Draw
19.6%

Richards Bay
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

22.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

21%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando Pirates's performance.

Richards Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richards Bay than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Orlando Pirates - Richards Bay Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	4.71 ↑ (4.06)	10.99 ↑ (8.47)	8% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Orlando Pirates - Richards Bay?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Orlando Pirates will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Orlando Pirates (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando Pirates will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando Pirates (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 4.
Orlando Pirates has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Richards Bay has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Richards Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Orlando Pirates has had a series of away games.
In this match, Orlando Pirates is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Orlando Pirates will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 0.9:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pirates won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pirates won against Richards Bay?

Orlando Pirates has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Richards Bay won against Orlando Pirates?

Richards Bay has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando Pirates - Richards Bay were as follows:

08.11.2025 Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates 0:1

26.01.2025 Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates 1:3

05.11.2024 Orlando Pirates - Richards Bay 1:0

29.09.2024 Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates 0:1

11.05.2024 Orlando Pirates - Richards Bay 0:1

Latest results of Orlando Pirates

04.03.2026 Polokwane City - Orlando Pirates 1:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates 0:3 ✺

21.02.2026 Orlando Pirates - Casric Stars 0:1 ✺

18.02.2026 Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Orlando Pirates - Marumo Gallants 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Richards Bay

03.03.2026 Richards Bay - Kaizer Chiefs 1:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Orbit College - Richards Bay 0:0 ✺

20.02.2026 Richards Bay - AmaZulu 0:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Chippa United - Richards Bay 3:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Siwelele - Richards Bay 3:4 ✺

South African Premier Soccer League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orlando Pirates	22	16	3	3	40:9	31	51
2	Mamelodi Sundowns	21	15	5	1	37:11	26	50
3	AmaZulu	22	11	4	7	22:19	3	37
4	Kaizer Chiefs	20	10	6	4	19:12	7	36
5	Durban City	22	10	5	7	20:15	5	35
6	Sekhukhune	22	9	7	6	21:15	6	34
7	Polokwane	21	7	8	6	16:14	2	29
8	Golden Arrows	22	8	4	10	28:26	2	28
9	Stellenbosch	22	7	7	8	19:23	-4	28
10	Siwelele	21	6	8	7	12:15	-3	26
11	TS Galaxy	22	7	4	11	24:29	-5	25
12	Richards Bay	22	5	8	9	16:24	-8	23
13	Chippa Utd	22	4	8	10	17:28	-11	20
14	Marumo Gallants	22	4	6	12	17:31	-14	18
15	Orbit College	22	5	3	14	16:36	-20	18
16	Magesi	21	2	8	11	13:30	-17	14

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
      Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
      Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
      Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship