Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Usa | ion TV, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (259/338) | 89% (507/572) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (259/338) | 89% (507/572) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 76% (120/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 25% (9/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Rauch F. ⚽,
- 33', Abello K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Matsukubo M. 🟨,
- 61', Koyama S. ↓, Shaw J. ↑,
- 68', Hernandez O. ↓, Watt A. ↑,
- 68', Abello K. ↓, Sams E. ↑,
- 77', Sanchez A. ↓, Lussi T. ↑,
- 77', Matsukubo M. ↓, Betfort H. ↑,
- 77', Pickett C. ↓, Lemos A. ↑,
- 77', Gautrat M. ↓, Chilufya P. ↑,
- 83', Chavoshi Z. ↓, Dyke C. ↑,
- 90+1', Rauch F. ↓, Aline Gomes ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Chilufya P. ⚽, Angelina (A),
Chances of winning
North Carolina Courage
25.3% | Draw
27.6% | Orlando Pride
47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina Courage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Orlando Pride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (-3%)
North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(3.28) |
3.32 ↑
(3.18) |
1.95 ↓
(2.1) |
9%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Orlando Pride may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Orlando Pride will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:19. (average 2.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:7. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina Courage won against Orlando Pride?
North Carolina Courage has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pride won against North Carolina Courage?
Orlando Pride has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride were as follows:
20.07.2024
North Carolina Courage
-
Orlando Pride
2:1
15.06.2024
North Carolina Courage
-
Orlando Pride
0:0
01.05.2024
Orlando Pride
-
North Carolina Courage
4:1
17.09.2023
Orlando Pride
-
North Carolina Courage
2:1
29.07.2023
North Carolina Courage
-
Orlando Pride
5:0
Latest results of North Carolina Courage
Latest results of Orlando Pride
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 29:10 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Orlando Pride W | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Washington Spirit W | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns W | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Seattle Reign W | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Gotham W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Bay FC W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 | Chicago W | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10:27 | -17 | 6 |
| 14 | Utah Royals W | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11:29 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
