Aubagne vs Orleans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Aubagne
24.1%
Draw
27.7%
Orleans
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 25.8% 48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 25.5% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Aubagne - Orleans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.79
    (3.55)
    3.3
    (3.54)
    1.9
    (1.89)
    9.4%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).
    • Aubagne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Orleans is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aubagne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Orleans is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aubagne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aubagne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aubagne - Orleans were as follows:
    21.11.2025 Orleans - Aubagne 2:4
    02.05.2025 Aubagne - Orleans 1:0
    10.01.2025 Orleans - Aubagne 2:1
    Latest results of Aubagne
    10.04.2026 Le Puy - Aubagne 1:2
    03.04.2026 Aubagne - Châteauroux 1:1
    27.03.2026 Valenciennes - Aubagne 0:0
    20.03.2026 Aubagne - Sochaux 1:4
    13.03.2026 Dijon - Aubagne 2:1
    Latest results of Orleans
    10.04.2026 Orleans - Concarneau 1:1
    27.03.2026 Orleans - Villefranche 0:0
    21.03.2026 Caen - Orleans 1:1
    06.03.2026 Stade Briochin - Orleans 1:3
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dijon271510245:202555
    2Sochaux27157545:202552
    3Rouen271211437:241347
    4Fleury-Merogis27129638:261245
    5Le Puy-en-Velay27128740:281244
    6Orleans27128736:36044
    7Versailles27135935:29644
    8Valenciennes271061132:37-535
    9Caen28615733:31233
    10Villefranche28961329:38-933
    11Aubagne27891032:37-533
    12Concarneau277101028:34-631
    13Paris 13 Atl28791224:36-1230
    14Quevilly Rouen27671430:42-1225
    15Bourg en Bresse28671522:40-1825
    16Chateauroux274121129:39-1024
    17Stade Briochin283111427:45-1820

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation