Result
0:2
17/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | BFM Marseille Provence |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Bentoumi M. 🟨,
- 21', El Asrar M. 🟨,
- 38', Kebe K. 🟨,
- 45+1', Tlili K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', Aouladzian Y. ↓, Khous G. ↑,
- 71', Morel J. ↓, Berthier G. ↑,
- 71', Legendre R. ↓, Bozkurt C. ↑,
- 78', El Asrar M. ↓, Madi K. ↑,
- 78', Tlili K. ↓, Mayilla E. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 1, El Khoumisti F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Berrabha D. ↓, Leccese J. ↑,
- 85', Oudjani A. 🟥,
- 90+2', 0 - 2, El Khoumisti F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', Kebe K. ↓, Bailly A. ↑,
- 90+6', Rocchia C. ↓, Leccese J. ↑,
- 90+6', Bentoumi M. ↓, Curis I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aubagne
18.9% | Draw
23.9% | Orleans
57.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aubagne's form might have worsened.Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orleans's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aubagne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orleans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aubagne - Orleans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.9 ↑
(3.55) |
3.88 ↑
(3.54) |
1.62 ↓
(1.89) |
7.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aubagne - Orleans?
Users Predictions:
Orleans will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).
- Aubagne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Orleans is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aubagne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Orleans might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aubagne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Aubagne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Aubagne won against Orleans?
Aubagne has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orleans won against Aubagne?
Orleans has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aubagne - Orleans were as follows:
21.11.2025
Orleans
-
Aubagne
2:4
02.05.2025
Aubagne
-
Orleans
1:0
10.01.2025
Orleans
-
Aubagne
2:1
Latest results of Aubagne
Latest results of Orleans
French National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dijon | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 47:22 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Fleury-Merogis | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 46:26 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Rouen | 30 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 5 | Versailles | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Orleans | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 48 |
| 7 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 46 |
| 8 | Caen | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Valenciennes | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | Concarneau | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Villefranche | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 36 |
| 12 | Aubagne | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
| 13 | Paris 13 Atl | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | Quevilly Rouen | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 33:42 | -9 | 30 |
| 15 | Bourg en Bresse | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Chateauroux | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 2
Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
Relegation
