Orsomarso vs Real Santander – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin play

Match Stats

Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
95
Shots on target
40
Corner kicks
510
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
95
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
55
Corner kicks
510

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Montero Alarcon F. 🟨,
  • 27', 🟨,
  • 38', Martinez E. , Valoyes Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Montero Alarcon F. , Ruiz Bravo D. F. ,
  • 52', 1 - 0, Girado S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 54', Lasso M. 🟨,
  • 65', Salinas J. 🟨,
  • 66', Ruiz A. , Zarante ,
  • 66', Salinas J. , Hernandez J. ,
  • 75', Ararat J. , Casquete L. ,
  • 75', Rangel L. , Segura A. ,
  • 75', Arrechea S. , Martinez S. ,
  • 75', Valoyes Y. , Parra J. ,
  • 83', Rueda Juan 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Parra J. ,
  • 86', Tapia D. , Rey S. ,

Chances of winning


Orsomarso
49.8%
Draw
29.6%
Real Santander
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 26.8% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 25.9% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orsomarso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Orsomarso - Real Santander Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.71)
    3.1
    (3.4)
    4.47
    (4.6)
    8.9%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Orsomarso - Real Santander?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Orsomarso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 3.
    • Recent form of Orsomarso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Real Santander has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Orsomarso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Orsomarso has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Orsomarso is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orsomarso won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orsomarso - Real Santander were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Orsomarso - Real Santander 1:0
    06.04.2025 Real Santander - Orsomarso 0:0
    02.10.2024 Real Santander - Orsomarso 0:2
    11.03.2024 Orsomarso - Real Santander 4:2
    14.09.2023 Orsomarso - Real Santander 2:2
    Latest results of Orsomarso
    Colombian Primera B Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Quindio21102:114
    2Envigado21013:213
    3Tigres21011:2-13
    4Inter Palmira20110:1-11


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Magdalena10101:101
    2Bogota10101:101
    3Cartagena10100:001
    4Barranquilla10100:001

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