Arronches Benfica vs Os Marialvas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Arronches Benfica - Os Marialvas
Result
1:0
26/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Arronches Benfica
45%
Draw
31.1%
Os Marialvas
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 25.8% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 24.6% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arronches Benfica's form might have worsened.
  • Os Marialvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Os Marialvas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arronches Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Os Marialvas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arronches Benfica - Os Marialvas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.59)
    2.92
    (3.5)
    3.8
    (5.22)
    10.1%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arronches Benfica - Os Marialvas were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Os Marialvas - Arronches Benfica 2:3
    Latest results of Arronches Benfica
    Latest results of Os Marialvas
    19.01.2025 Os Marialvas - Elvas 2:3
    12.01.2025 Fatima - Os Marialvas 4:0
    15.12.2024 Os Marialvas - Alverca B 1:1
    08.12.2024 Sertanense - Os Marialvas 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1