Osaka vs Júbilo Iwata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football YBC Levain Cup Osaka - Júbilo Iwata
Result
1:2
26/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanFuji TV Two

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Sato R. ,
  • 17', Haga A. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Nishimura M. ,
  • 23', Mima K. , Tsutsumi S. ,
  • 45+3', Kawai T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Haga A. , Sawazaki R. ,
  • 46', Horikoshi D. , Natsukawa Y. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Kawai T. ,
  • 55', Tachino S. 🟨,
  • 57', Morioka R. 🟨,
  • 66', Morioka R. , Matsubara K. ,
  • 66', Sato R. , Sumi K. ,
  • 74', Watanabe R. , Masui K. ,
  • 74', Kubo R. , Lee Dong-Yeol ,
  • 79', Matsubara K. 🟨,
  • 82', Mochizuki S. , Matsumoto K. ,
  • 90', Kawai T. , Ishizuka R. ,
  • 90+5', Matsumoto K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Osaka
20.4%
Draw
24.6%
Júbilo Iwata
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 24.1% 59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5% 25.5% 63%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Júbilo Iwata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Osaka - Júbilo Iwata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.58
    (5.6)
    3.73
    (3.8)
    1.68
    (1.54)
    8.1%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Osaka - Júbilo Iwata?
  • Users Predictions: Osaka will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Osaka is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Iwata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Iwata is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Osaka
    23.03.2025 Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa 1:0
    16.03.2025 Tochigi - Osaka 1:0
    08.03.2025 Osaka - Gainare Tottori 1:0
    02.03.2025 Kochi United - Osaka 1:2
    22.02.2025 Ryūkyū - Osaka 0:1
    Latest results of Júbilo Iwata
    Draw
    First stage

    1/64-finals
    1VanraureAlbirex Niigata1 : 2
    2YamagaSagan Tosu1 : 0
    3NaganoVerdy0 : 1
    4EhimeBlaublitz0 : 2
    5Tochigi CityKashima Antlers0 : 1
    6Oita TrinitaRenofa Yamaguchi2 : 3
    7Azul Claro NumazuKashiwa Reysol0 : 1
    8Fukushima UtdHokkaido Consadole Sapporo6 : 3
    9KanazawaShonan Bellmare0 : 1
    10KusatsuV-Varen Nagasaki1 : 4
    11Nara ClubFC Tokyo0 : 1
    12Omiya ArdijaIwaki4 : 3
    13SagamiharaShimizu S-Pulse1 : 3
    14OsakaIwata1 : 2
    15Kochi UnitedGamba Osaka1 : 2
    16MitoKumamoto1 : 0
    17Gainare TottoriKyoto0 : 2
    18Kagoshima UtdMontedio Yamagata0 : 2
    19KamatamareCerezo Osaka1 : 5
    20ImabariTokushima2 : 1
    21GifuYokohama FC0 : 2
    22Giravanz KitakyushuOkayama1 : 0
    23KofuFujieda MYFC2 : 1
    24ByeMachida
    25Tegevajaro MiyazakiNagoya Grampus0 : 3
    26ToyamaChiba4 : 2
    27RyukyuAvispa Fukuoka0 : 2
    28Tochigi SCVegalta Sendai1 : 0
    32ByeSanfrecce Hiroshima

    1/32-finals
    1Albirex NiigataYamaga2 : 0
    2VerdyBlaublitz2 : 1
    3Kashima AntlersRenofa Yamaguchi1 : 2
    4Kashiwa ReysolFukushima Utd3 : 2
    5Shonan BellmareV-Varen Nagasaki2 : 1
    6FC TokyoOmiya Ardija3 : 1
    7Shimizu S-PulseIwata1 : 2
    8Gamba OsakaMito1 : 0
    9KyotoMontedio Yamagata1 : 0
    10Cerezo OsakaImabari4 : 3
    11Yokohama FCGiravanz Kitakyushu2 : 1
    12KofuMachida0 : 1
    13Nagoya GrampusToyama1 : 2
    14Avispa FukuokaTochigi SC2 : 1
    16ByeSanfrecce Hiroshima

    1/16-finals
    1Albirex NiigataVerdy0 : 2
    2Renofa YamaguchiKashiwa Reysol0 : 2
    3Shonan BellmareFC Tokyo1 : 0
    4IwataGamba Osaka2 : 1
    5KyotoCerezo Osaka1 : 4
    6Yokohama FCMachida2 : 1
    7ToyamaAvispa Fukuoka1 : 2
    8ByeSanfrecce Hiroshima

    1/8-finals
    1VerdyKashiwa Reysol1 : 2, 0 : 3
    2Shonan BellmareIwata0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Cerezo OsakaYokohama FC0 : 4, 4 : 1
    4Avispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima1 : 3, 1 : 0