Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/01/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 20
Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	0.73
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Goal Attempts
12	8
Shots on Goal
3	3
Shots off Goal
3	3
Blocked Shots
6	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	3
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
Free Kicks
13	9
Offsides
2	2
Fouls
9	13
Yellow Cards
3	2
Throw-ins
26	17
Touches in the Opposition Box
29	17
Passes
82% (340/415)	77% (307/399)
Passes in the final third
73% (101/138)	57% (49/86)
Crosses
27% (9/33)	8% (1/12)
Tackles
80% (12/15)	63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
24	36
Interceptions
5	11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Camello S. ⚽, Ratiu A. (A),
38', Valentin O. 🟨,
40', Ibanez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ibanez P. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
46', Cruz J. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽,
60', de Frutos J. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
68', Camello S. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
68', Lopez U. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
72', Moncayola J. 🟨,
75', Garcia R. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
81', Areso J. 🟨,
81', Moncayola J. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
84', Batalla A. 🟨,
87', Embarba A. ↓, Nteka R. ↑,
87', Palazon I. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,

Chances of winning

Osasuna
41.6%

Draw
30.7%

Rayo Vallecano
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

30.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

31.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.2)	3.12 ↓ (3.14)	3.47 ↓ (3.69)	4.2% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano?

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 15 - 35.7%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 5 - 11.9%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 52.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37.3% – 67.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Osasuna won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Rayo Vallecano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
Osasuna will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (Yellow Cards) de Tomas R. (Illness)
There are questionable in Osasuna: Zaragoza B. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Montiel J. (Ankle Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Osasuna won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:19 (average 1.4:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Osasuna won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna won against Rayo Vallecano?

Osasuna has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Osasuna?

Rayo Vallecano has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:

16.09.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 3:1

20.04.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 2:1

15.12.2023 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 1:0

14.04.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 2:1

04.09.2022 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 2:1

Latest results of Osasuna

16.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 2:3 ✺

12.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

04.01.2025 Tenerife - Osasuna 1:2 ✺

21.12.2024 Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao 1:2 ✺

14.12.2024 Espanyol - Osasuna 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

16.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 3:1 ✺

10.01.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 2:1 ✺

03.01.2025 Ferrol - Rayo Vallecano 1:3 ✺

22.12.2024 Betis - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺

18.12.2024 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 3, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia, SportsMax App