Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona).

LaLiga - Round 4
Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
China	iQIYI
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.76	1.03
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
9	19
Shots on target
7	6
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
76% (230/303)	87% (472/540)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76	1.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.10	1.27
Total shots
9	19
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
1	7
Blocked Shots
1	6
Shots inside the Box
6	12
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
13	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
7	11
Passes
76% (230/303)	87% (472/540)
Long passes
50% (27/54)	62% (36/58)
Passes in final third
65% (53/81)	77% (142/184)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.17	1.10
Throw-ins
18	20
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
56% (5/9)	31% (4/13)
Duels won
32	33
Clearances
32	18
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	5
xGOT faced
1.27	2.10
Goals prevented
1.27	0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Luiz Felipe ↓, Vertrouwd J. ↑,
15', 1 - 0, Garcia R. ⚽,
24', Oroz A. 🟨,
43', Catena A. 🟨,
43', Palazon I. 🟨,
45+2', Ciss P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Garcia R. ↓, Budimir A. ↑,
60', Munoz V. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
65', Lopez U. ↓, Alemao ↑,
65', Garcia A. ↓, Camello S. ↑,
71', Oroz A. ↓, Benito I. ↑,
72', Bretones A. 🟨,
77', 2 - 0, Benito I. ⚽, Moncayola J. (A),
81', Lejeune F. ↓, Becerra S. ↑,
81', Diaz P. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,

Chances of winning

Osasuna
61.7%

Draw
29.6%

Rayo Vallecano
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osasuna's performance.

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Vallecano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasuna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.38)	5.23 ↑ (3.31)	19.17 ↑ (3.15)	-32.3% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano?

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 22.2% – 59.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 1.
In recent matches, Osasuna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rayo Vallecano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Osasuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Osasuna has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Osasuna: Gomez M. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Osasuna: Rosier V. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna won against Rayo Vallecano?

Osasuna has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Osasuna?

Rayo Vallecano has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:

19.01.2025 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 1:1

16.09.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 3:1

20.04.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 2:1

15.12.2023 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 1:0

14.04.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 2:1

Latest results of Osasuna

04.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Espanyol - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Osasuna - Valencia 1:0 ✺

19.08.2025 Real Madrid - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Freiburg - Osasuna 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

31.08.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona 1:1 ✺

28.08.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Neman Grodno 4:0 ✺

25.08.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺

21.08.2025 Neman Grodno - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Girona - Rayo Vallecano 1:3 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Madrid	7	6	0	1	16:8	8	18
2	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	19:4	15	16
3	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	13:5	8	16
4	Atl. Madrid	7	3	3	1	14:9	5	12
5	Espanyol	7	3	3	1	10:9	1	12
6	Getafe	7	3	2	2	8:9	-1	11
7	Elche	6	2	4	0	8:5	3	10
8	Ath Bilbao	7	3	1	3	7:8	-1	10
9	Betis	6	2	3	1	9:7	2	9
10	Alaves	7	2	2	3	6:7	-1	8
11	Valencia	6	2	2	2	8:10	-2	8
12	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	10:10	0	7
13	Osasuna	6	2	1	3	5:5	0	7
14	Rayo Vallecano	6	1	2	3	7:9	-2	5
15	Celta Vigo	6	0	5	1	5:7	-2	5
16	Levante	7	1	2	4	11:14	-3	5
17	Real Sociedad	6	1	2	3	6:9	-3	5
18	Mallorca	7	1	2	4	6:11	-5	5
19	R. Oviedo	6	1	0	5	2:11	-9	3
20	Girona	7	0	3	4	3:16	-13	3

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