Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
24/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 21
  • Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.781.18
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
45
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
43
Passes
81% (372/458)64% (141/222)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.781.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.781.90
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
36
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
66
Shots outside the box
58
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2627
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1512
Passes
81% (372/458)64% (141/222)
Long passes
49% (33/67)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
68% (78/114)51% (43/85)
Crosses
21% (5/24)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.39
Throw ins
2232
Fouls
1215
Tackles
58% (15/26)64% (9/14)
Duels won
6453
Clearances
3333
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.900.78
Goals prevented
-0.10-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Budimir A. , Herrando J. (A),
  • 38', Munoz I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Valentin O. , Alemao ,
  • 46', Martin C. , Akhomach I. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Ciss P. , Palazon I. (A),
  • 66', Diaz P. 🟨,
  • 67', Munoz I. , Osambela A. ,
  • 72', Palazon I. , Vertrouwd J. ,
  • 72', de Frutos J. , Camello S. ,
  • 79', Herrando J. 🟨,
  • 81', Oroz A. , Garcia R. ,
  • 81', Budimir A. , Bretones A. ,
  • 90', Garcia A. , Perez F. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Vertrouwd J. (Own goal),
  • 90+1', Ciss P. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Munoz V. , Torro L. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 3, Osambela A. , Moncayola J. (A),

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
42.8%
Draw
30.6%
Osasuna
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 28.7% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 28.5% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2)
    3.12
    (3.31)
    3.6
    (4)
    4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%). Osasuna will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 47.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32%63%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Osasuna (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Osasuna (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Rayo Vallecano (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Osasuna (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Osasuna (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Rayo Vallecano could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mendez D. (Injury) Mendy N. (Red Card) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Osasuna: Becker S. (Stomach Disorder) Benito I. (Knee Injury) Catena A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Balliu I. (Muscle Injury) Ratiu A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 2:0
    19.01.2025 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 1:1
    16.09.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 3:1
    20.04.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 2:1
    15.12.2023 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 1:0
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of Osasuna
    17.01.2026 Osasuna - Real Oviedo 3:2
    13.01.2026 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 3:2
    10.01.2026 Girona - Osasuna 1:0
    03.01.2026 Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona25201467:254261
    2Real Madrid25193354:213360
    3Villarreal25163647:272051
    4Atl. Madrid25146542:231948
    5Betis25119540:301042
    6Celta Vigo25910634:27737
    7Espanyol251051031:37-635
    8Ath Bilbao251041129:35-634
    9Osasuna25961030:29133
    10Real Sociedad2588937:38-132
    11Girona2579926:40-1430
    12Sevilla25851232:39-729
    13Getafe25851220:29-929
    14Alaves25761223:32-927
    15Rayo Vallecano24681022:31-926
    16Valencia25681126:39-1326
    17Elche255101032:37-525
    18Mallorca25661329:41-1224
    19Levante25461526:44-1818
    20Oviedo24381316:39-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2