Result
4:1
06/04/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 28
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (187/268) | 76% (311/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.46 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (187/268) | 76% (311/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 28% (14/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (55/91) | 57% (58/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.53 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 50% (12/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 3.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', Mikolcic S. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 21', 1 - 0, Santini I. (Pen),
- 40', 2 - 0, Grzan S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Renan Guedes ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
- 54', Santini I. 🟨,
- 56', Bukvic D. ↓, Dantas T. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 0, Santini I. ⚽,
- 62', Peric S. 🟨,
- 69', Pozo I. ↓, Laca I. ↑,
- 74', Bozic I. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Mersinaj J. ⚽, Omerovic N. (A),
- 77', Babec H. ↓, Hernani ↑,
- 77', Jakupovic A. ↓, Ademi K. ↑,
- 79', 4 - 1, Grzan S. ⚽, Laca I. (A),
- 85', Santini I. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
- 85', Zuta L. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
- 86', Kavelj A. ↓, Roca I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Šibenik
28.6% | Draw
29.7% | Osijek
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Šibenik - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(3.13) |
3.14 ↓
(3.47) |
2.24 ↑
(2.21) |
7.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Šibenik - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Šibenik will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Osijek will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 1.
- Šibenik is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Osijek has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Osijek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Osijek will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Šibenik: Cvek L.
(Red Card)
Nizic Z.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Osijek: Hasic E.
(Ankle Injury)
Matkovic A.
(Injury)
Pusic P.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Osijek: Zivkovic F.
(Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 9:36 (average 0.6:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Šibenik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 3:22 (average 0.4:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Šibenik won against Osijek?
Šibenik has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Šibenik?
Osijek has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Šibenik - Osijek were as follows:
24.01.2025
Osijek
-
Šibenik
2:2
19.10.2024
Šibenik
-
Osijek
1:3
04.08.2024
Osijek
-
Šibenik
1:2
19.05.2023
Šibenik
-
Osijek
1:4
18.03.2023
Osijek
-
Šibenik
0:0
Latest results of Šibenik
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | D. Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 16 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gorica | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Osijek | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
