Result
4:1
06/04/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 28
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.24 | 0.66 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
70% (187/268) | 76% (311/408) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.24 | 0.66 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.46 | 0.71 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 16 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
70% (187/268) | 76% (311/408) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (26/56) | 28% (14/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (55/91) | 57% (58/102) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (3/9) | 35% (7/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.72 | 1.53 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (16/20) | 50% (12/24) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 56 |
Clearances Total |
---|
29 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.71 | 3.46 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.29 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', Mikolcic S. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 21', 1 - 0, Santini I. (Pen),
- 40', 2 - 0, Grzan S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Renan Guedes ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
- 54', Santini I. 🟨,
- 56', Bukvic D. ↓, Dantas T. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 0, Santini I. ⚽,
- 62', Peric S. 🟨,
- 69', Pozo I. ↓, Laca I. ↑,
- 74', Bozic I. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Mersinaj J. ⚽, Omerovic N. (A),
- 77', Babec H. ↓, Hernani ↑,
- 77', Jakupovic A. ↓, Ademi K. ↑,
- 79', 4 - 1, Grzan S. ⚽, Laca I. (A),
- 85', Santini I. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
- 85', Zuta L. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
- 86', Kavelj A. ↓, Roca I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Šibenik 28.6% | Draw 29.7% | Osijek 41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Šibenik - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.27 ↑ (3.13) |
3.14 ↓ (3.47) |
2.24 ↑ (2.21) |
7.1% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Šibenik - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Šibenik will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Osijek will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 1.
- Šibenik is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Osijek has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Osijek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Osijek will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Šibenik: Cvek L.
(Red Card)
Nizic Z.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Osijek: Hasic E.
(Ankle Injury)
Matkovic A.
(Injury)
Pusic P.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Osijek: Zivkovic F.
(Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 9:36 (average 0.6:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Šibenik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 3:22 (average 0.4:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Šibenik won against Osijek?
Šibenik has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Šibenik?
Osijek has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Šibenik - Osijek were as follows:
24.01.2025
Osijek
-
Šibenik
2:2
19.10.2024
Šibenik
-
Osijek
1:3
04.08.2024
Osijek
-
Šibenik
1:2
19.05.2023
Šibenik
-
Osijek
1:4
18.03.2023
Osijek
-
Šibenik
0:0
Latest results of Šibenik
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lok. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
2 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Vukovar 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL