Öster vs Elfsborg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Öster - Elfsborg
Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 8
  • Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMax, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.98
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
521
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
99
Passes
86% (464/539)79% (278/354)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.372.18
Total shots
521
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
211
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
416
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
99
Touches in opposition box
942
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
86% (464/539)79% (278/354)
Long passes
56% (23/41)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
68% (64/94)67% (111/166)
Crosses
5% (1/21)37% (13/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.432.67
Throw-ins
1120
Fouls
1112
Tackles
77% (10/13)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4345
Clearances
3618
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.180.37
Goals prevented
1.180.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Adolfsson M. 🟨,
  • 15', Ihler F. 🟨,
  • 19', Adolfsson M. , Adjei R. ,
  • 23', Zeneli B. 🟨,
  • 23', Morfelt C. 🟨,
  • 38', Hult N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Holmen S. ,
  • 57', Tamminen M. , Sanyang Y. ,
  • 63', Holmen S. 🟨,
  • 68', Christensen M. , Ask D. ,
  • 68', Kouakou C. , Aliev A. ,
  • 73', Sigurpalsson A. , Rapp G. ,
  • 73', Richtner L. , Kaib R. ,
  • 78', Ihler F. , Ostman L. ,
  • 78', Aronsson F. , Larsson J. ,

Chances of winning


Öster
26.2%
Draw
26.1%
Elfsborg
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 23.1% 53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9% 22.6% 54.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Öster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Öster than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Öster - Elfsborg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.66
    (3.9)
    3.67
    (3.95)
    1.99
    (1.71)
    5%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Öster - Elfsborg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Öster (votes: 1 - 50%). Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Elfsborg will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 4).
    • Öster is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Elfsborg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Elfsborg is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Elfsborg will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Öster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Öster won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    Latest results of Öster
    04.05.2025 Öster - Hammarby 0:3
    29.04.2025 Malmö - Öster 2:0
    24.04.2025 Djurgården - Öster 1:0
    20.04.2025 Öster - AIK 0:1
    14.04.2025 Halmstad - Öster 1:0
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    05.05.2025 Elfsborg - GAIS 2:0
    27.04.2025 AIK - Elfsborg 2:0
    23.04.2025 Elfsborg - Sirius 4:3
    19.04.2025 Degerfors - Elfsborg 0:1
    12.04.2025 Elfsborg - Norrköping 2:0
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby22165142:162653
    2Hammarby22143542:212145
    3AIK22117428:19940
    4Malmo FF22108434:181638
    5GAIS22108433:201338
    6Goteborg22122831:27438
    7Elfsborg22113837:32536
    8Djurgarden2297628:20834
    9Brommapojkarna22821235:35026
    10Hacken22751032:38-626
    11Norrkoping22741133:43-1025
    12Sirius22651132:36-423
    13Halmstad22631317:42-2521
    14Oster22461217:31-1418
    15Degerfors22441421:44-2316
    16Varnamo22261423:43-2012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan