Östersund vs Värnamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
03/05/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superettan - Round 5
  • Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Corner kicks
63
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
86
Corner kicks
63
Offsides
20
Free kicks
87
Throw ins
1823

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 29', Meriluoto K. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Coulibaly S. (Own goal),
  • 35', 2 - 0, Begic A. , Marklund S. (A),
  • 45+1', 3 - 0, Marklund S. , Adjoumani Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Coulibaly S. , Rapp J. ,
  • 46', Bozicevic F. , Jansson S. ,
  • 64', Marklund S. 🟨,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Andersson H. ,
  • 68', Stensrud A. , Navassardian E. ,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Meriluoto K. , Thern S. (A),
  • 76', Begic A. , Molls D. ,
  • 76', Azzi H. , Westerberg J. ,
  • 80', Edwards C. 🟨,
  • 83', Robertsson L. , Abdulrazak I. ,
  • 83', Ozkan E. , Palomino M. ,
  • 88', Johansson C. , Kamara M. ,
  • 90+4', Adjoumani Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Östersund
36.2%
Draw
28.1%
Värnamo
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.2% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 29.7% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Östersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Östersund - Värnamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.46)
    3.3
    (3.28)
    2.59
    (2.71)
    7.8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Värnamo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Östersund has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Östersund
    25.04.2026 Öster - Östersund 1:0
    19.04.2026 Helsingborg - Östersund 2:1
    11.04.2026 Östersund - Norrby 1:1
    06.04.2026 Varbergs BoIS - Östersund 1:2
    28.03.2026 Ranheim - Östersund 0:0
    Latest results of Värnamo
    26.04.2026 Värnamo - Oddevold 3:1
    18.04.2026 Sandviken - Värnamo 0:1
    14.04.2026 Värnamo - Sundsvall 3:0
    04.04.2026 Norrköping - Värnamo 6:0
    07.03.2026 Mjällby - Värnamo 2:1
    Swedish Superettan Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orebro52304:229
    2Helsingborg530210:919
    3Nordic United530210:919
    4Varnamo53029:10-19
    5Falkenberg42206:428
    6Oddevold521211:1107
    7Ostersund52127:707
    8Brage52128:9-17
    9Oster42114:5-17
    10Norrkoping42029:546
    11Varberg51319:726
    12Landskrona42025:416
    13Norrby50416:7-14
    14Ljungskile51135:6-14
    15Sandviken50327:9-23
    16Sundsvall51045:11-63

          Promotion ~ Allsvenskan
          Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )
          Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation)
          Relegation