Result
3:1
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Vianni S. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+22', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ostia Mare
44.3% | Draw
27.9% | Fossombrone
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Ostia Mare - Fossombrone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(2.01) |
3.27 ↓
(3.35) |
3.28 ↓
(3.4) |
9.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
- Ostia Mare is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Fossombrone's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Fossombrone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Fossombrone has had a series of home games.
- Ostia Mare will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Ostia Mare will win today's game, with odds of 2.06.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Ostia Mare won against Fossombrone?
Ostia Mare has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fossombrone won against Ostia Mare?
Fossombrone has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ostia Mare - Fossombrone were as follows:
Latest results of Ostia Mare
Latest results of Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | 15 | 27 |
| 2 | Ancona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:5 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Teramo | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:7 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Notaresco Calcio | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Atletico Ascoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Sora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Vigor Senigallia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Termoli | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Giulianova | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | San Marino Calcio | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Fossombrone | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Recanatese | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Sammaurese | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:19 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 | Castelfidardo | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4:21 | -17 | 1 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
