Notaresco vs Ostia Mare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Infantino S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 63', 1 - 1, El Hadj C. G. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Spinosa M. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Notaresco
27.8%
Draw
30.2%
Ostia Mare
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 28.7% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 27.8% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Notaresco - Ostia Mare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (3.14)
    2.99
    (3.2)
    2.15
    (2.18)
    10.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Notaresco is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ostia Mare is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ostia Mare could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notaresco - Ostia Mare were as follows:
    30.11.2025 Ostia Mare - Notaresco 0:0
    Latest results of Notaresco
    02.04.2026 L Aquila - Notaresco 0:2
    29.03.2026 Teramo - Notaresco 1:0
    22.03.2026 Notaresco - Sammaurese 4:0
    15.03.2026 Sora - Notaresco 0:3
    01.03.2026 Notaresco - Fossombrone 1:1
    Latest results of Ostia Mare
    02.04.2026 Ostia Mare - Chieti 3:0
    29.03.2026 Sammaurese - Ostia Mare 0:1
    25.03.2026 Teramo - Ostia Mare 2:2
    22.03.2026 Ostia Mare - UniPomezia 1:0
    01.03.2026 Ostia Mare - Castelfidardo 2:1
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare34247365:254079
    2Ancona34237459:223776
    3Teramo342111265:293674
    4Atletico Ascoli341413755:352055
    5Notaresco Calcio341312943:311251
    6L Aquila341491153:44951
    7Giulianova341116740:31949
    8Vigor Senigallia341213945:40549
    9Fossombrone3411111228:34-644
    10Unipomezia3410121243:42142
    11Termoli348151127:30-339
    12Maceratese341151843:49-638
    13Sora349111440:50-1038
    14Calcio Chieti348111531:55-2435
    15Recanatese34881839:57-1832
    16San Marino Calcio34871933:61-2831
    17Castelfidardo34652330:65-3523
    18Sammaurese34572230:69-3920

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation