Result
4:1
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Spinosa M. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Orfano M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 80', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 80', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+8', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ostia Mare
67.4% | Draw
21.2% | Recanatese
11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ostia Mare's performance.Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Ostia Mare - Recanatese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.49) |
4.27 ↑
(3.98) |
7.98 ↑
(5.62) |
10.2%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
- Ostia Mare is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recanatese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Ostia Mare is the clear favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Ostia Mare won against Recanatese?
Ostia Mare has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Recanatese won against Ostia Mare?
Recanatese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ostia Mare - Recanatese were as follows:
Latest results of Ostia Mare
Latest results of Recanatese
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 62:20 | 42 | 73 |
| 2 | Ancona | 31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 71 |
| 3 | Teramo | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 59:25 | 34 | 69 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 53 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 31 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 45 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 24:30 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Termoli | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Sora | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Calcio Chieti | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 29:57 | -28 | 25 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:64 | -36 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
