Result
28:31
04/10/2024 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (21 - 10)
- 6', Miller C. (Penalty Goal),
- 12', Rush R. (Try),
- 13', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Craig A. (Try),
- 19', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Lio-Willie C. (Try),
- 29', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Murray H. (Try),
- 31', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (7 - 21)
- 42', Miller C. (Try),
- 42', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Hurley F. (Try),
- 57', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', Holland F. (Try),
- 63', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Lemisio R. (Try),
- 75', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Northland
53.3% | Draw
3.6% | Otago
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Otago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northland than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northland that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Northland - Otago Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.85) |
25.81 ↑
(23) |
2.14 ↑
(2) |
8.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 56.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Northland won 2.
- Northland is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Otago is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Northland won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 287:311 (average 26.1:28.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Northland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 142:149 (average 28.4:29.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Northland won against Otago?
Northland has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Otago won against Northland?
Otago has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northland - Otago were as follows:
10.09.2023
Otago
-
Northland
30:15
Latest results of Northland
New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Canterbury | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 99:44 | 17 |
| 2 | Waikato | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 110:118 | 14 |
| 3 | Taranaki | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 141:58 | 14 |
| 4 | Hawke's Bay | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 124:83 | 13 |
| 5 | Otago | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 124:102 | 13 |
| 6 | Tasman | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 127:87 | 13 |
| 7 | Bay of Plenty | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 108:80 | 11 |
| 8 | Southland | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 91:93 | 9 |
| 9 | Northland | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 82:92 | 8 |
| 10 | Wellington | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 91:103 | 6 |
| 11 | Manawatu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 77:103 | 6 |
| 12 | Auckland | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 82:148 | 3 |
| 13 | Counties Manukau | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 81:153 | 2 |
| 14 | North Harbour | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 90:163 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Bunnings NPC (Play Offs: )
