Otago vs Northland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Otago - Northland
Result
29:10
05/09/2025 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 7)
  • 2nd Half (22 - 3)

Chances of winning


Otago
69.1%
Draw
3.7%
Northland
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 4.2% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 3.9% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Otago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Northland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northland than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Otago - Northland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.36)
    24.2
    (22)
    3.33
    (3.25)
    8.9%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
    What is the prediction for Otago - Northland?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Otago will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Otago (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:24.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otago won 4.
    • Otago is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Northland has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Otago is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Otago will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Otago won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 342:315. (average 28.5:26.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Otago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 162:145. (average 27:24.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Otago - Northland were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Northland - Otago 28:31
    10.09.2023 Otago - Northland 30:15
    Latest results of Otago
    30.08.2025 Tasman - Otago 27:31
    23.08.2025 Otago - Counties Manukau 33:19
    16.08.2025 Wellington - Otago 41:46
    10.08.2025 Otago - Hawkes Bay 21:27
    02.08.2025 Southland - Otago 15:24
    Latest results of Northland
    30.08.2025 Northland - Hawkes Bay 27:21
    23.08.2025 Auckland - Northland 24:43
    15.08.2025 Northland - Tasman 14:28
    08.08.2025 Northland - Southland 22:17
    02.08.2025 Taranaki - Northland 23:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)27 : 7