Northland vs Otago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Northland - Otago
Result
28:31
04/10/2024 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1

Match Stats

Tries
44
Conversion Goals
44
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (21 - 10)
  • 6', Miller C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 12', Rush R. (Try),
  • 13', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 18', Craig A. (Try),
  • 19', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 27', Lio-Willie C. (Try),
  • 29', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Murray H. (Try),
  • 31', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (7 - 21)
  • 42', Miller C. (Try),
  • 42', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 56', Hurley F. (Try),
  • 57', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 62', Holland F. (Try),
  • 63', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Lemisio R. (Try),
  • 75', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Northland
53.3%
Draw
3.6%
Otago
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 4% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 3.7% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Otago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northland than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northland that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Northland - Otago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.85)
    25.81
    (23)
    2.14
    (2)
    8.6%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 56.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Northland won 2.
    • Northland is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Otago is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Northland won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 287:311 (average 26.1:28.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Northland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 142:149 (average 28.4:29.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northland - Otago were as follows:
    10.09.2023 Otago - Northland 30:15
    Latest results of Northland
    27.09.2024 Bay of Plenty - Northland 53:13
    20.09.2024 Northland - North Harbour 47:24
    15.09.2024 Northland - Auckland 17:24
    08.09.2024 Counties Manukau - Northland 25:14
    04.09.2024 Waikato - Northland 32:19
    Latest results of Otago
    28.09.2024 Otago - Tasman 47:31
    21.09.2024 Manawatu - Otago 10:28
    14.09.2024 Counties Manukau - Otago 45:17
    11.09.2024 Otago - Wellington 28:32
    07.09.2024 Otago - Canterbury 16:34
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Taranaki110023:34
    2Canterbury110033:154
    3Manawatu110038:254
    4Otago110024:154
    5Waikato110036:354
    6Auckland100135:361
    7Bay of Plenty00000:00
    8Counties Manukau00000:00
    9Hawke's Bay00000:00
    10Tasman00000:00
    11Southland100115:240
    12North Harbour100125:380
    13Wellington100115:330
    14Northland10013:230

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