Otago vs Tasman – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Otago - Tasman
Result
47:31
28/09/2024 at 00:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport Select
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby

Match Stats

Tries
75
Conversion Goals
53
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 10)
  • 9', Hurley F. (Try),
  • 10', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 15', Gray J. (Try),
  • 22', Sauira N. (Try),
  • 27', Lio-Willie C. (Try),
  • 28', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (33 - 21)
  • 42', Creighton H. (Try),
  • 43', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 49', Chapman L. (Try),
  • 50', Grant C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Lee J. (Try),
  • 55', Grant C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 57', Kunawave M. (Try),
  • 58', Grant C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Hastie N. (Try),
  • 64', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 71', Stodart W. (Try),
  • 77', Mafi S. 🟨,
  • 78', (Penalty Try),
  • 80', Holland F. (Try),
  • 80+1', Miller C. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Otago
69.7%
Draw
3.5%
Tasman
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 3.7% 58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 4.1% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Otago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otago's performance.
  • Tasman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tasman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otago than the current prediction. (-27.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otago that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tasman than the current prediction. (+25.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tasman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Otago - Tasman Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (2.43)
    26.46
    (25)
    3.45
    (1.59)
    8.4%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 54.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Otago - Tasman?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Otago will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Tasman will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:28.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Otago won 1.
    • Otago is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tasman is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • In this match Otago is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Otago won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 275-337.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Otago won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 220-229.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Otago - Tasman were as follows:
    04.08.2023 Tasman - Otago 27:15
    Latest results of Otago
    21.09.2024 Manawatu - Otago 10:28
    14.09.2024 Counties Manukau - Otago 45:17
    11.09.2024 Otago - Wellington 28:32
    07.09.2024 Otago - Canterbury 16:34
    30.08.2024 Taranaki - Otago 22:18
    Latest results of Tasman
    21.09.2024 Waikato - Tasman 25:27
    14.09.2024 Tasman - Wellington 28:15
    07.09.2024 Hawkes Bay - Tasman 24:25
    31.08.2024 Tasman - Bay of Plenty 34:15
    23.08.2024 Counties Manukau - Tasman 3:48
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Taranaki110023:34
    2Canterbury110033:154
    3Manawatu110038:254
    4Otago110024:154
    5Waikato110036:354
    6Auckland100135:361
    7Bay of Plenty00000:00
    8Counties Manukau00000:00
    9Hawke's Bay00000:00
    10Tasman00000:00
    11Southland100115:240
    12North Harbour100125:380
    13Wellington100115:330
    14Northland10013:230

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