Otago vs Waikato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Otago - Waikato
Result
44:41
10/10/2025 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Chances of winning


Otago
66.8%
Draw
3.9%
Waikato
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 4.4% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 4.4% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Otago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Waikato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otago than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waikato than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Otago - Waikato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.42)
    23.18
    (21)
    2.98
    (3)
    7.9%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    What is the prediction for Otago - Waikato?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Otago will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 31:23.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otago won 2.
    • Otago is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Waikato has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Otago is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Otago will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Otago won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 204:210. (average 25.5:26.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Otago won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 110:62. (average 36.7:20.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Otago - Waikato were as follows:
    24.09.2023 Waikato - Otago 47:7
    17.09.2022 Otago - Waikato 27:20
    Latest results of Otago
    03.10.2025 Auckland - Otago 17:51
    26.09.2025 Otago - North Harbour 41:26
    20.09.2025 Canterbury - Otago 36:38
    13.09.2025 Otago - Taranaki 28:26
    05.09.2025 Otago - Northland 29:10
    Latest results of Waikato
    03.10.2025 Waikato - Northland 25:19
    27.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Waikato 41:5
    20.09.2025 Tasman - Waikato 24:29
    12.09.2025 Waikato - North Harbour 29:28
    05.09.2025 Manawatu - Waikato 36:26
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)