Otto Virtanen vs Christopher OConnell – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Otto Virtanen - Christopher OConnell
Result
0:2
23/09/2024 at 01:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
35
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
65%60%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (23/33)79% (26/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
72% (13/18)68% (15/22)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
21% (7/33)33% (11/33)
2nd Return Points Won
32% (7/22)28% (5/18)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)100% (2/2)
Winners
1314
Unforced Errors
2422
Net Points Won
67% (10/15)67% (12/18)
Max Points In Row
58
Service Points Won
70% (35/50)75% (41/55)
Return Points Won
25% (14/55)30% (15/50)
Total Points Won
47% (49/105)53% (56/105)
Max Games In Row
13
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Otto Virtanen
36.2%
Christopher OConnell
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 54.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Otto Virtanen's form might have worsened.
  • Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christopher OConnell's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christopher OConnell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Otto Virtanen - Christopher OConnell Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.12)

    1.47
    (1.66)
    6.5%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Otto Virtanen - Christopher OConnell?
  • Users Predictions: Christopher OConnell will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Virtanen is ranked ATP: 110. OConnell is ranked ATP: 75.
    • Virtanen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • OConnell is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • OConnell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • OConnell will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's OConnell to win the game is with odds 1.48.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Otto Virtanen
    Latest results of Christopher OConnell
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Fils A.1 : 2
    2Van De Zandschulp B. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Navone M.Darderi L.2 : 0
    4Opelka R. (PR)Shelton B. (8)1 : 2
    5Ruud C. (3)Thompson J.0 : 2
    6Cilic M. (PR)Nishikori K. (WC)1 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F.Nishioka Y. (WC)1 : 2
    8Tabilo A.Rune H. (6)1 : 2
    9Paul T. (5)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    10Popyrin A.Machac T.1 : 2
    11Etcheverry T. M.O'Connell C. (Q)0 : 2
    12Michelsen A. (Q)Tsitsipas S. (4)2 : 1
    13Tiafoe F. (7)Nakashima B. (SE)0 : 2
    14Mochizuki S. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    15Draper J.Bellucci M. (Q)2 : 0
    16Giron M.Hurkacz H. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fils A.Berrettini M. (RET.)0 : 1
    2Navone M.Shelton B. (8)0 : 2
    3Thompson J.Nishikori K.0 : 2
    4Nishioka Y.Rune H. (6)0 : 2
    5Paul T. (5)Machac T.1 : 2
    6O'Connell C.Michelsen A.0 : 2
    7Nakashima B.Humbert U.0 : 2
    8Draper J.Hurkacz H. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fils A.Shelton B. (8)2 : 1
    2Nishikori K.Rune H. (6)1 : 2
    3Machac T.Michelsen A.2 : 0
    4Humbert U.Draper J. (RET.)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Fils A.Rune H. (6)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Humbert U.1 : 2

    Final
    1Fils A.Humbert U.2 : 1