Otto Virtanen vs Fabio Fognini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Almaty Otto Virtanen - Fabio Fognini
Result
2:0
15/10/2024 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
92
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
51%76%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (25/31)64% (34/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
70% (21/30)47% (8/17)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
36% (19/53)19% (6/31)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (9/17)30% (9/30)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)50% (1/2)
Winners
306
Unforced Errors
3924
Net Points Won
80% (12/15)33% (2/6)
Max Points In Row
65
Service Points Won
75% (46/61)60% (42/70)
Return Points Won
40% (28/70)25% (15/61)
Total Points Won
56% (74/131)44% (57/131)
Max Games In Row
32
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Otto Virtanen
61.6%
Fabio Fognini
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Otto Virtanen - Fabio Fognini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.46)

    2.49
    (2.74)
    5.1%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Otto Virtanen - Fabio Fognini?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Fognini will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Virtanen is ranked ATP: 114. Fognini is ranked ATP: 81.
    • Virtanen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Fognini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Virtanen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Virtanen will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Otto Virtanen
    Latest results of Fabio Fognini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tiafoe F. (1)Bye
    2Daniel T.Evans D. (Q)0 : 2
    3Duckworth J.Vukic A.0 : 2
    4Safiullin R.Mannarino A. (8)1 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (3)Bye
    6Virtanen O.Fognini F.2 : 0
    7Hassan B. (Q)Zhukayev B. (WC)0 : 2
    8Skatov T. (WC)Machac T. (5)0 : 2
    9Zhang Z. (6)Karatsev A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Shevchenko A.Kukushkin M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Engel J. (WC)Wong C.2 : 0
    12ByeCerundolo F. (4)
    13Marozsan F. (7)Coric B.0 : 2
    14O'Connell C.Diallo G.0 : 2
    15Dzumhur D.Marterer M.0 : 2
    16ByeTabilo A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Tiafoe F. (1)Evans D.2 : 1
    2Vukic A.Mannarino A. (8)2 : 0
    3Khachanov K. (3)Virtanen O.2 : 0
    4Zhukayev B.Machac T. (RET.) (5)0 : 0
    5Karatsev A.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    6Engel J.Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    7Coric B.Diallo G.0 : 2
    8Marterer M.Tabilo A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tiafoe F. (1)Vukic A.0 : 2
    2Khachanov K. (3)Zhukayev B.2 : 0
    3Shevchenko A.Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    4Diallo G.Tabilo A. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Vukic A.Khachanov K. (3)1 : 2
    2Cerundolo F. (4)Diallo G.0 : 2

    Final
    1Khachanov K. (3)Diallo G.2 : 1