Result
0:2
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 29
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (360/436) | 69% (175/252) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (360/436) | 69% (175/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (29/51) | 39% (24/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (120/154) | 58% (39/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (10/37) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 2.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 2.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Gil O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Teklab H. ↓, Verlinden T. ↑,
- 46', Lakomy L. ↓, George W. ↑,
- 51', Guiagon P. 🟨,
- 65', Scheidler A. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Gil O. ⚽, Verlinden T. (A),
- 74', 0 - 2, Dussenne N. ⚽,
- 80', Dussenne N. ↓, Ominami T. ↑,
- 80', Verstraete B. ↓, Kayo B. ↑,
- 83', Camara E. ↓, Bernier A. ↑,
- 83', Keita C. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 88', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Charleroi
52.5% | Draw
25.7% | Oud-Heverlee Leuven
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.82) |
3.68 ↑
(3.65) |
4.34 ↑
(4.1) |
5.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Leuven (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Charleroi will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 1.
- Charleroi is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Leuven has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Charleroi is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Sow M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Leuven: Schrijvers S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Leysen T.
(Eye injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Charleroi has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Charleroi?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
27.07.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Charleroi
2:2
24.05.2025
Charleroi
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2:1
28.03.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Charleroi
0:0
14.12.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Charleroi
1:0
26.10.2024
Charleroi
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0:2
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
