Result
2:2
27/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 1
- Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
78% (263/338) | 83% (350/421) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.09 | 2.00 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 26 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
78% (263/338) | 83% (350/421) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (28/66) | 61% (35/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (51/89) | 70% (84/120) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (3/17) | 19% (6/32) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.72 | 1.06 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (12/19) | 44% (7/16) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
39 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.00 | 2.09 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Maertens M. ⚽, Verlinden T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 61', Maertens M. 🟨,
- 62', Rogelj Z. ↓, Petris J. ↑,
- 62', Titraoui Y. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 62', Verlinden T. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 62', Stulic N. ↓, Descotte A. ↑,
- 62', Maertens M. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
- 70', Gil O. 🟨,
- 71', Traore A. K. ↓, Mijatovic J. ↑,
- 74', Guiagon P. ↓, Bernier A. ↑,
- 77', Camara E. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 0, Maziz Y. ⚽, Mijatovic J. (A),
- 81', Camara E. ↓, Sow M. ↑,
- 87', Balikwisha W. ↓, Nsingi N. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Bernier A. ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Dragsnes V. ⚽,
- 90+5', Romsaas J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36.3% | Draw 29.4% | Charleroi 34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.71 ↑ (2.47) |
3.4 ↑ (3.32) |
2.98 ↑ (2.83) |
-0% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Charleroi will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.1% – 81.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Charleroi (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 2.
- Charleroi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Leuven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Charleroi has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Mayoka-Tika N.
(Inactive)
Sow M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Charleroi?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Charleroi has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi were as follows:
24.05.2025
Charleroi
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2:1
28.03.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Charleroi
0:0
14.12.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Charleroi
1:0
26.10.2024
Charleroi
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0:2
17.02.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Charleroi
0:0
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Royale Union SG | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 7 |
2 | St. Truiden | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
3 | St. Liege | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
4 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Anderlecht | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 6 |
6 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Antwerp | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
8 | Waregem | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
9 | Westerlo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
10 | Gent | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
11 | RAAL La Louviere | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Charleroi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
13 | Dender | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Genk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Leuven | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
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